BAL vs LAD — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballDodger Stadium · Los Angeles, California

Baltimore

Orioles

Final

MLB.TV

Top hitters

BAL

AVG

.303

LAD

AVG

.417▼

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

BAL

Starter

Trevor Rogers

Baltimore Orioles · 4-7

7.0 IP, 0 ER, 6 K, 2 BB

xwOBA 48th

5.30 ERA · 54 K · 1.36 WHIP

LAD

Starter

Yoshinobu Yamamoto

Los Angeles Dodgers · 7-5

6.0 IP, 3 ER, 6 K, 2 BB

xwOBA 76th

2.65 ERA · 86 K · 0.87 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

An electrifying finish in L.A.! The Orioles edged out the Dodgers in a nail-biter, 3-2.

The Orioles showcased their grit with a solid performance, flipping the script to snatch victory from the Dodgers on their home turf.
Strong pitching by the Orioles made all the difference, keeping the Dodgers at bay and allowing their offense to seize critical moments.
This win has the Orioles soaring in the standings, proving they can compete with the best and solidifying their playoff aspirations.

Contact quality

BAL3 R · .285 xBA

LAD2 R · .274 xBA

The scoreboard matched the contact — BAL both hit it harder and scored more.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

BAL win5th in the AL East, 12½ GB

Looking ahead

The Orioles sit 5th in the AL East, 12½ games back — coming off a win, 4-6 over their last 10.
The Dodgers lead the NL West by 14½ — coming off a win, 7-3 over their last 10.
BAL wins series 2-1.
The Orioles are up next home vs KC (Jul 10-12).
The Dodgers are up next home vs ARI (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
BAL	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	3	7	1
LAD	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	4	0

Statcast

Hardest hit · LAD
S. Ohtani · Home Run
114.6 mph · .810 xBA
Hardest hit · BAL
C. Cowser · Single
102.4 mph · .540 xBA
Longest hit
S. Ohtani · Home Run
413 ft · .810 xBA
Best barrel
M. Rojas · Flyout
100.6 mph · .600 xBA
Fastest pitch
E. Henriquez · 4-Seam Fastball
102.2 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Trevor Rogers
BAL
+34%
Tommy Edman
LAD
+16%
Blaze Alexander
BAL
+14%

Scoring summary

Mayo grounded into fielder's choice to first, Taveras scored, Cowser out at second.2nd Inning1-0
Alexander doubled to left, Taveras scored and Cowser scored, Mayo to third.4th Inning3-0
Ohtani homered to center (413 feet).9th Inning3-1
Freeman scored on error, Edman safe at first on fielding error by right fielder Taveras, Betts safe at third on error.9th Inning3-2

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
T. Ward	1-5	5	0	1	0	0	2	13	.252	.390	.343
G. Henderson	0-4	4	0	0	0	1	1	25	.220	.291	.418
P. Alonso	0-3	3	0	0	0	1	2	16	.245	.330	.463
S. Basallo	2-4	4	0	2	0	0	1	16	.258	.319	.451
L. Taveras	2-4	4	2	2	0	0	1	18	.255	.332	.368
C. Cowser	1-3	3	1	1	0	1	0	16	.226	.321	.377
C. Mayo	0-3	3	0	0	1	1	1	16	.193	.259	.374
J. Holliday	0-3	3	0	0	0	0	2	15	.200	.286	.388
J. Jackson	0-1	1	0	0	0	0	0	5	.257	.274	.413
B. Alexander	1-4	4	0	1	2	0	1	10	.303	.356	.418

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA	PC
T. Rogers	7.0	1	0	0	2	6	0	96-60	5.30	96
R. Garcia	0.2	1	0	0	0	2	0	11-7	1.72	11
G. Wolfram	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	3-3	4.12	3
A. Kittredge	0.1	1	2	1	1	0	1	10-4	6.11	10
Y. Cano	0.2	1	0	0	0	1	0	15-8	2.08	15

Win probability

BAL 100%LAD 0%

Win probability over timeLAD win %

Biggest swing: Alexander doubled to left, Taveras scored and Cowser scored, Mayo to third. (+24% BAL)

Team stats

BALLAD

Hits

Runs

Home Runs

RBI

Stolen Bases

Walks

Strikeouts

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

BALLAD

8.45%

Barrel%

10.23%

42.6%

Hard-hit%

43.07%

.320

xwOBA

.350

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant