WSH vs TB — MainMarket Sports · MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballTropicana Field · St. Petersburg, Florida

Washington

Nationals

Final

ESPN UnlmtdMLB.TVRays.TV+1

Top hitters

WSH

AVG

.283▼

AVG

.322

Yandy Díaz

Tampa Bay Rays

2-4 · 1 RBI

xwOBA 87th

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

WSH

Starter

Cade Cavalli

Washington Nationals · 4-4

2.2 IP, 2 ER, K, 3 BB

xwOBA 48th

4.07 ERA · 82 K · 1.46 WHIP

Starter

Ian Seymour

Tampa Bay Rays · 3-1

5.0 IP, 3 ER, 4 K, 0 BB

xwOBA 80th

4.98 ERA · 45 K · 1.29 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Nationals edged out the Rays in a thrilling showdown at Tropicana Field! Let’s dive into how it all unfolded!

The Nationals showcased their grit, securing a narrow victory with a final score of 4-3, leaving fans on the edge of their seats!
In a matchup of skill and strategy, the Nationals capitalized on their chances, turning the tables with timely hitting, while the Rays fell just short despite a strong effort.

Contact quality

WSH4 R · .374 xBA

TB3 R · .320 xBA

The scoreboard matched the contact — WSH both hit it harder and scored more.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

WSH win4th in the NL East, 7 GB

Looking ahead

The Nationals sit 4th in the NL East, 7 games back — coming off a win, 6-4 over their last 10.
The Rays lead the AL East by 4 — coming off a loss, 6-4 over their last 10.
TB wins series 2-1.
The Nationals are up next home vs NYY (Jul 10-12).
The Rays are up next home vs SEA (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
WSH	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	4	10	0
TB	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	10	0

Statcast

Hardest hit · WSH
J. Wood · Double
110.9 mph · .700 xBA
Hardest hit · TB
Y. Díaz · Single
109.3 mph · .380 xBA
Longest hit
D. Crews · Home Run
442 ft · 1.000 xBA
Best barrel
A. Chaparro · Single
109.3 mph · .670 xBA
Fastest pitch
C. Cavalli · 4-Seam Fastball
98.1 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Brad Lord
WSH
+34%
Clayton Beeter
WSH
+23%
Mitchell Parker
WSH
+22%

Scoring summary

Caminero hit sacrifice fly to right, Díaz scored.1st Inning0-1
Abrams homered to right center (378 feet).2nd Inning1-1
Nuñez doubled to left, Crews scored, Lile to third.2nd Inning2-1
Simpson singled to center, Caminero scored, Palacios to third.3rd Inning2-2
Chaparro grounded out to catcher, Ruiz scored, Wood to third.5th Inning3-2
Crews homered to center (442 feet).9th Inning4-2
Díaz reached on infield single to third, Walls scored.9th Inning4-3

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	HR	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
J. Wood	1-5	5	0	1	0	0	0	19	.272	.399	.537
C. Mead	1-4	4	0	1	0	0	2	14	.232	.343	.465
A. Chaparro	1-3	3	0	1	1	0	1	9	.188	.366	.281
L. Garcia Jr.	0-1	1	0	0	0	0	1	6	.264	.287	.468
C. Abrams	1-4	4	1	1	1	1	2	16	.283	.366	.520
D. Crews	2-4	4	2	2	1	1	0	19	.198	.236	.366
D. Lile	0-3	3	0	0	0	0	0	13	.252	.312	.406
J. Young	0-3	3	0	0	0	0	0	11	.228	.278	.384
B. Lord	0-0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000
J. Vivas	1-1	1	0	1	0	0	0	7	.250	.329	.324
C. Beeter	0-0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000
N. Nunez	2-4	4	0	2	1	0	1	14	.230	.315	.277

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	PC-ST	ERA	PC
C. Cavalli	2.2	6	2	2	3	1	68-39	4.07	68
M. Parker	2.1	1	0	0	1	2	32-24	5.70	32
B. Lord	3.0	2	0	0	0	5	36-28	2.29	36
C. Beeter	1.0	1	1	1	2	2	21-11	3.63	21

Win probability

WSH 100%TB 0%

Win probability over timeTB win %

Biggest swing: Díaz reached on infield single to third, Walls scored. (+20% TB)

Team stats

WSHTB

Hits

Runs

Home Runs

RBI

Stolen Bases

Walks

Strikeouts

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

WSHTB

8.66%

Barrel%

4.83%

38.78%

Hard-hit%

34.16%

.330

xwOBA

.310

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant