TOR vs CHC — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballWrigley Field · Chicago, Illinois

Toronto

Blue Jays

Final

MLB.TV

Top hitters

TOR

AVG

.306▼

CHC

AVG

.286▲

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

TOR

Starter

Patrick Corbin

Toronto Blue Jays · 2-3

3.2 IP, 3 ER, 4 K, 3 BB

xwOBA 12th

4.73 ERA · 47 K · 1.53 WHIP

CHC

Starter

Colin Rea

Chicago Cubs · 5-5

5.1 IP, 0 ER, 3 K, 0 BB

xwOBA 7th

4.99 ERA · 59 K · 1.40 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Blue Jays edged out the Cubs in a thrilling matchup at Wrigley Field! Let’s break down the action!

The Blue Jays hammered out 8 runs, showcasing their offensive firepower and taking control early against the Cubs' pitching staff.
With a standout performance, the Blue Jays' lineup demonstrated depth, with key players stepping up when it mattered most.
The Cubs fought valiantly, putting 6 runs on the board, but fell short in their comeback efforts at the legendary Wrigley Field.

Contact quality

TOR8 R · .345 xBA

CHC6 R · .320 xBA

The scoreboard matched the contact — TOR both hit it harder and scored more.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

TOR win3rd in the AL East, 11 GB

Looking ahead

The Blue Jays sit 3rd in the AL East, 11 games back — winners of 2 straight, 5-5 over their last 10.
The Cubs sit 2nd in the NL Central, 7 games back — coming off a loss, 7-3 over their last 10.
Series tied 1-1 — they meet again Jun 21.
The Blue Jays are up next at SD (Jul 10-12).
The Cubs are up next at CIN (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
TOR	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	5	0	8	9	2
CHC	0	3	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	6	9	0

Statcast

Hardest hit · CHC
I. Happ · Single
109 mph · .440 xBA
Hardest hit · TOR
K. Okamoto · Home Run
107.3 mph · .710 xBA
Longest hit
P. Crow-Armstrong · Home Run
400 ft · .900 xBA
Best barrel
K. Okamoto · Home Run
107.3 mph · .710 xBA
Fastest pitch
L. Varland · Sinker
100 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Louis Varland
TOR
+39%
Kazuma Okamoto
TOR
+31%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
TOR
+20%

Scoring summary

Shaw homered to left (390 feet), Bregman scored and Happ scored.2nd Inning0-3
Crow-Armstrong homered to right (400 feet), Swanson scored.6th Inning0-5
Varsho homered to right (368 feet), Guerrero Jr. scored and Okamoto scored.7th Inning3-5
Kirk singled to left, Straw scored, Springer to second.8th Inning4-5
Guerrero Jr. singled to center, Springer scored, Pinango to second.8th Inning5-5
Okamoto homered to left center (377 feet), Pinango scored and Guerrero Jr. scored.8th Inning8-5
Hoerner grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Amaya scored, Crow-Armstrong out at second, Swanson to third.8th Inning8-6

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	HR	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
G. Springer	1-5	5	1	1	0	0	0	0	16	.223	.313	.389
N. Lukes	0-3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	12	.306	.352	.410
A. Kirk	1-1	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	7	.200	.273	.325
Y. Pinango	0-0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	.283	.331	.433
V. Guerrero Jr.	2-4	4	2	2	1	0	0	0	20	.279	.365	.370
B. Valenzuela	1-4	4	0	1	0	0	0	2	15	.261	.340	.457
K. Okamoto	1-3	3	2	1	3	1	0	0	13	.229	.310	.443
D. Varsho	1-4	4	1	1	3	1	0	2	15	.256	.329	.419
D. Schneider	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	16	.165	.303	.319
A. Gimenez	1-2	2	0	1	0	0	0	1	7	.232	.274	.373
E. Clement	0-2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	.292	.311	.440
M. Straw	1-3	3	1	1	0	0	1	0	20	.242	.313	.333

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA	PC
P. Corbin	3.2	6	3	3	3	4	1	101-57	4.73	101
L. Estrada	2.1	1	2	2	2	0	1	32-18	2.84	32
J. Hoffman	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	0	22-14	5.13	22
M. Fluharty	0.0	2	1	1	1	0	0	11-5	3.94	11
L. Varland	2.0	0	0	0	0	2	0	28-17	0.86	28

Win probability

TOR 100%CHC 0%

Win probability over timeCHC win %

Biggest swing: Okamoto homered to left center (377 feet), Pinango scored and Guerrero Jr. scored. (+41% TOR)

Team stats

TORCHC

Hits

Runs

Home Runs

RBI

Stolen Bases

Walks

Strikeouts

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

TORCHC

6.63%

Barrel%

7.99%

36.1%

Hard-hit%

40.11%

.310

xwOBA

.330

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant