MIL vs ATL — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballTruist Park · Atlanta, Georgia

Milwaukee

Brewers

Final

MLB.TVBravesVisionBrewers.TV+1

Top hitters

MIL

AVG

.375▼

ATL

AVG

.306

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

MIL

Starter

Kyle Harrison

Milwaukee Brewers · 8-1

6.1 IP, 2 ER, 7 K, 0 BB

xwOBA 83rd

2.50 ERA · 87 K · 1.06 WHIP

ATL

Starter

Chris Sale

Atlanta Braves · 8-5

5.2 IP, 0 ER, 7 K, BB

xwOBA 71st

2.14 ERA · 99 K · 1.05 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Braves edged the Brewers in a thrilling game at Truist Park! Here's how it all went down!

In a tightly contested battle, the Braves narrowly defeated the Brewers, showcasing their resilience with a late-game push.
A standout performance from the Braves' lineup was crucial, as they capitalized on key opportunities, turning the tide when it mattered most.
With this win, the Braves continue to strengthen their position, keeping their playoff hopes alive in the competitive standings.

Contact quality

MIL3 R · .381 xBA

ATL4 R · .225 xBA

ATL scored more despite the lower team xBA — MIL squared more up and had less to show for it.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

ATL win1st in the NL East, +3

Looking ahead

The Braves lead the NL East by 3 — winners of 2 straight, 5-5 over their last 10.
The Brewers lead the NL Central by 7 — coming off a win, 7-3 over their last 10.
ATL wins series 2-1.
The Braves are up next at STL (Jul 10-12).
The Brewers are up next at PIT (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
MIL	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	3	8	0
ATL	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	2	4	6	1

Statcast

Hardest hit · MIL
W. Contreras · Single
110.9 mph · .840 xBA
Hardest hit · ATL
M. Dubón · Groundout
99.1 mph · .290 xBA
Longest hit
M. Harris II · Flyout
386 ft · .440 xBA
Best barrel
M. Harris II · Flyout
98.8 mph · .440 xBA
Fastest pitch
A. Uribe · Sinker
100 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Ozzie Albies
ATL
+95%
Trevor Megill
MIL
+14%
Abner Uribe
MIL
+12%

Scoring summary

Albies homered to right center (367 feet).5th Inning0-1
Sánchez hit sacrifice fly to right, Chourio scored, Turang to third.6th Inning1-1
Vaughn singled to center, Turang scored, Contreras to third.6th Inning2-1
Chourio grounded out to third, Pratt scored, Ortiz to second.7th Inning3-1
Riley grounded out to third, Albies scored.7th Inning3-2
Albies homered to right (339 feet), Olson scored.9th Inning3-4

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
J. Chourio	1-4	4	1	1	1	0	1	20	.304	.358	.550
B. Turang	0-4	4	1	0	0	0	2	19	.260	.373	.457
W. Contreras	2-4	4	0	2	0	0	0	17	.289	.351	.399
G. Sanchez	0-2	2	0	0	1	1	1	17	.222	.366	.453
A. Vaughn	1-3	3	0	1	1	0	1	13	.352	.435	.528
S. Frelick	0-1	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	.230	.303	.313
B. Perkins	1-2	2	0	1	0	0	0	8	.157	.247	.253
J. Bauers	0-2	2	0	0	0	0	2	10	.267	.372	.498
G. Mitchell	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	2	22	.252	.348	.416
C. Pratt	2-4	4	1	2	0	0	0	11	.375	.389	.375
J. Ortiz	1-4	4	0	1	0	0	1	11	.206	.294	.258

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA	PC
K. Harrison	6.1	4	2	2	7	1	85-59	2.50	85
A. Uribe	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	8-7	3.62	8
T. Megill	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	8-7	4.00	8
A. Ashby	0.1	2	2	2	1	1	14-8	3.18	14

Win probability

MIL 0%ATL 100%

Win probability over timeATL win %

Biggest swing: Albies homered to right (339 feet), Olson scored. (+75% ATL)

Team stats

MILATL

Hits

Runs

Home Runs

RBI

Stolen Bases

Walks

Strikeouts

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

MILATL

7.94%

Barrel%

9.56%

40.18%

Hard-hit%

41.64%

.320

xwOBA

.330

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant