MIL vs ATL — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballTruist Park · Atlanta, Georgia

Milwaukee

Brewers

Final

MLB.TVBravesVisionBrewers.TV

Top hitters

MIL

AVG

.352▼

Andrew Vaughn

Milwaukee Brewers

2-4 · 2B

Max Exit Velo 40thvs LHP .407

ATL

AVG

.292▼

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

MIL

Starter

Jacob Misiorowski

Milwaukee Brewers · 8-3

6.0 IP, 2 ER, 7 K, BB

xwOBA 99th

1.45 ERA · 138 K · 0.75 WHIP

ATL

Starter

Martín Pérez

Atlanta Braves · 6-3

6.0 IP, ER, 5 K, 2 BB

xwOBA 29th

2.78 ERA · 56 K · 1.07 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Braves edge out the Brewers in a nail-biter, clinching a thrilling victory in Truist Park!

In a heart-pounding finish at Truist Park, the Braves triumphed 3-2 over the Brewers, relying on a mix of timely hitting and solid pitching to secure the win.
Despite the Brewers out-hitting the Braves 11-7, they left a staggering 20 runners on base, showcasing a missed opportunity to capitalize on their numerous chances. Additionally, M. Yastrzemski's home run was the difference-maker, while M. Perez's stellar performance on the mound propelled the Braves to an impressive…

Contact quality

MIL2 R · .363 xBA

ATL3 R · .254 xBA

ATL scored more despite the lower team xBA — MIL squared more up and had less to show for it.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

ATL win1st in the NL East, +3

Looking ahead

The Braves lead the NL East by 3 — winners of 2 straight, 5-5 over their last 10.
The Brewers lead the NL Central by 7 — coming off a win, 7-3 over their last 10.
ATL wins series 2-1.
The Braves are up next at STL (Jul 10-12).
The Brewers are up next at PIT (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
MIL	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	11	0
ATL	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	0		3	7	0

Statcast

Hardest hit · MIL
G. Mitchell · Single
111.6 mph · .780 xBA
Hardest hit · ATL
J. Mateo · Lineout
103.2 mph · .490 xBA
Longest hit
J. Mateo · Lineout
382 ft · .490 xBA
Fastest pitch
J. Misiorowski · 4-Seam Fastball
104.2 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Mauricio Dubón
ATL
+24%
Martín Pérez
ATL
+20%
Robert Suarez
ATL
+14%

Scoring summary

Turang reached on infield single to shortstop, Perkins scored, Chourio to second, Ortiz to third.3rd Inning1-0
Dubón singled to left, Albies scored and Mateo scored, Olson to second.6th Inning1-2
Yastrzemski homered to right (374 feet).7th Inning1-3
Turang singled to left, Yelich scored, Chourio thrown out at home. Milwaukee Brewers challenged call on the field was upheld9th Inning2-3

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
C. Yelich	1-4	4	1	1	0	1	0	29	.275	.349	.427
J. Chourio	1-4	4	0	1	0	1	0	13	.305	.361	.557
B. Turang	2-5	5	0	2	2	0	1	15	.264	.378	.464
W. Contreras	0-4	4	0	0	0	1	1	14	.286	.349	.398
G. Mitchell	2-4	4	0	2	0	0	1	14	.258	.354	.424
A. Vaughn	2-4	4	0	2	0	0	1	10	.352	.438	.533
D. Hamilton	0-0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.230	.313	.316
B. Perkins	1-3	3	1	1	0	0	1	11	.148	.242	.247
J. Bauers	0-0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6	.269	.375	.502
C. Pratt	1-3	3	0	1	0	0	1	11	.333	.357	.333
S. Frelick	0-1	1	0	0	0	0	0	6	.231	.305	.315
J. Ortiz	1-3	3	0	1	0	0	1	12	.205	.295	.258

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA	PC
J. Misiorowski	6.0	5	2	2	1	7	0	91-65	1.45	91
A. Uribe	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	1	13-11	3.71	13
C. Yoho	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	13-9	1.80	13

Win probability

MIL 0%ATL 100%

Win probability over timeATL win %

Biggest swing: Dubón singled to left, Albies scored and Mateo scored, Olson to second. (+31% ATL)

Team stats

MILATL

Hits

Runs

Home Runs

RBI

Stolen Bases

Walks

Strikeouts

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

MILATL

7.94%

Barrel%

9.56%

40.18%

Hard-hit%

41.64%

.320

xwOBA

.330

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant