MIL vs ATL — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballTruist Park · Atlanta, Georgia

Milwaukee

Brewers

Final

ESPN UnlmtdMLB.TVBravesVision+1

Top hitters

MIL

AVG

.368▼

ATL

AVG

.306

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

MIL

Starter

Robert Gasser

Milwaukee Brewers · 1-3

6.0 IP, 2 ER, 7 K, BB

xwOBA 71st

4.50 ERA · 31 K · 1.27 WHIP

ATL

Starter

Bryce Elder

Atlanta Braves · 5-5

6.0 IP, 8 ER, 6 K, 2 BB

xwOBA 66th

3.71 ERA · 79 K · 1.21 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

In a thrilling showdown at Truist Park, the Brewers soared past the Braves 9-4, clinching a key victory!

The Brewers flexed their offensive muscles, outscoring the Braves significantly to secure a commanding victory.
Standout performances lit up the lineup, showcasing the Brewers' ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities and maintain pressure throughout the game.
This win is a crucial boost for the Brewers, reinforcing their position as they push forward in the standings.

Contact quality

MIL9 R · .390 xBA

ATL4 R · .334 xBA

The scoreboard matched the contact — MIL both hit it harder and scored more.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

MIL win1st in the NL Central, +7

Looking ahead

The Brewers lead the NL Central by 7 — coming off a win, 7-3 over their last 10.
The Braves lead the NL East by 3 — winners of 2 straight, 5-5 over their last 10.
ATL wins series 2-1.
The Brewers are up next at PIT (Jul 10-12).
The Braves are up next at STL (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
MIL	0	8	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	9	13	0
ATL	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	4	7	1

Statcast

Hardest hit · MIL
W. Contreras · Home Run
109.5 mph · .990 xBA
Hardest hit · ATL
R. Tellez · Home Run
105.8 mph · .920 xBA
Longest hit
R. Tellez · Home Run
422 ft · .920 xBA
Best barrel
R. Tellez · Home Run
105.8 mph · .920 xBA
Fastest pitch
C. Patrick · Sinker
97.5 mph

Game MVP · win probability

William Contreras
MIL
+15%
Sal Frelick
MIL
+14%
David Hamilton
MIL
+10%

Scoring summary

Albies hit sacrifice fly to right, Dubón scored.1st Inning0-1
Frelick doubled to left, Bauers scored and Contreras scored.2nd Inning2-1
Hamilton doubled to center, Frelick scored.2nd Inning3-1
Chourio singled to center, Hamilton scored, Yelich to second.2nd Inning4-1
Turang singled to right, Yelich scored, Chourio to second.2nd Inning5-1
Contreras homered to left (408 feet), Chourio scored and Turang scored.2nd Inning8-1
Bart grounded out to third, Harris II scored.4th Inning8-2
Mitchell scored on López wild pitch.7th Inning9-2
Mitchell scored on López wild pitch.7th Inning9-2
Tellez homered to center (422 feet), Albies scored.9th Inning9-4

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	HR	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
C. Yelich	0-4	4	1	0	0	0	1	0	19	.269	.345	.417
J. Chourio	1-5	5	1	1	1	0	0	1	14	.301	.354	.540
B. Turang	1-5	5	1	1	1	0	0	3	16	.259	.371	.452
W. Contreras	4-5	5	2	4	3	1	0	0	15	.299	.358	.417
J. Bauers	2-5	5	1	2	0	0	0	2	17	.270	.373	.496
G. Mitchell	0-4	4	1	0	0	0	1	1	20	.248	.345	.408
S. Frelick	2-4	4	1	2	2	0	0	0	19	.235	.306	.321
C. Pratt	1-3	3	0	1	0	0	1	0	17	.368	.409	.368
D. Hamilton	2-4	4	1	2	1	0	0	2	16	.236	.317	.326

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA	PC
R. Gasser	6.0	4	2	2	1	7	0	97-68	4.50	97
C. Patrick	3.0	3	2	2	0	2	1	40-30	3.30	40

Win probability

MIL 100%ATL 0%

Win probability over timeATL win %

Biggest swing: Contreras homered to left (408 feet), Chourio scored and Turang scored. (+14% MIL)

Team stats

MILATL

Hits

Runs

Home Runs

RBI

Stolen Bases

Walks

Strikeouts

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

MILATL

7.94%

Barrel%

9.56%

40.18%

Hard-hit%

41.64%

.320

xwOBA

.330

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant