SF vs MIA — MainMarket Sports · MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballloanDepot park · Miami, Florida

San Francisco

Giants

39-54 · 17-26 away

Final

Miami

Marlins

52-42 · 26-16 home

MLB.TVMarlins.TV

Top hitters

AVG

.400▼

MIA

AVG

.332▲

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

Starter

Logan Webb

San Francisco Giants · 4-5

8.0 IP, 2 ER, 5 K, BB

xwOBA 55th

3.35 ERA · 70 K · 1.12 WHIP

MIA

Starter

Ryan Gusto

Miami Marlins · 0-2

4.1 IP, ER, 6 K, 2 BB

Fastball Spin 68th

6.00 ERA · 16 K · 1.61 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Marlins edged the Giants in a nail-biter! Let's break down how it all went down at loanDepot park.

The Marlins secured a tight 2-1 victory over the Giants, showcasing a masterclass in pitching and clutch hitting at loanDepot park!
With just two runs to work with, Miami’s defense stepped up, limiting San Francisco to only one run, proving that every pitch counts in tight games.
This win gives the Marlins a boost as they eye the postseason, demonstrating their ability to grind out victories in crucial moments.

Contact quality

SF1 R · .306 xBA

MIA2 R · .253 xBA

MIA scored more despite the lower team xBA — SF squared more up and had less to show for it.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

MIA win3rd in the NL East, 3 GB

Looking ahead

The Marlins sit 3rd in the NL East, 3 games back — winners of 6 straight, 8-2 over their last 10.
The Giants sit 4th in the NL West, 21½ games back — coming off a win, 4-6 over their last 10.
MIA wins series 3-0.
The Marlins are up next home vs CLE (Jul 10-12).
The Giants are up next home vs COL (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
SF	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	0
MIA	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0		2	5	0

Statcast

Hardest hit · MIA
K. Stowers · Home Run
106.2 mph · .860 xBA
Hardest hit · SF
B. Eldridge · Flyout
103.1 mph · .100 xBA
Longest hit
K. Stowers · Home Run
426 ft · .860 xBA
Best barrel
C. Schmitt · Flyout
101.8 mph · .550 xBA
Fastest pitch
M. Petersen · 4-Seam Fastball
98.5 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Lake Bachar
MIA
+17%
Casey Schmitt
SF
+14%
Logan Webb
SF
+14%

Scoring summary

Stowers homered to center (426 feet).2nd Inning0-1
Schmitt singled to right, Arraez scored, Eldridge to third.3rd Inning1-1
Lopez doubled to center, Stowers scored.4th Inning1-2

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
L. Arraez	1-4	4	1	1	0	0	0	18	.320	.357	.444
B. Eldridge	0-3	3	0	0	0	1	0	14	.298	.389	.516
C. Schmitt	2-4	4	0	2	1	0	0	11	.296	.324	.531
R. Devers	0-3	3	0	0	0	1	1	14	.238	.302	.433
J. Cox	0-0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.400	.400	.800
J. Lee	0-3	3	0	0	0	1	0	12	.327	.359	.456
W. Adames	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	2	13	.223	.266	.420
M. Chapman	0-2	2	0	0	0	0	1	11	.243	.330	.386
D. Gilbert	1-3	3	0	1	0	0	1	16	.236	.310	.369
D. Susac	0-3	3	0	0	0	0	1	8	.278	.327	.351

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA	PC
L. Webb	8.0	5	2	2	1	5	1	103-70	3.35	103

Win probability

SF 0%MIA 100%

Win probability over timeMIA win %

Biggest swing: Lopez doubled to center, Stowers scored. (+16% MIA)

Team stats

SFMIA

Hits

Runs

Home Runs

RBI

Stolen Bases

Walks

Strikeouts

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

SFMIA

8.14%

Barrel%

7.61%

39.94%

Hard-hit%

39.97%

.320

xwOBA

.320

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant