STL vs KC — MainMarket Sports · MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballKauffman Stadium · Kansas City, Missouri

St. Louis

Cardinals

48-44 · 19-17 away

Final

Kansas City

Royals

38-56 · 19-21 home

Apple TV

Top hitters

STL

AVG

.323▼

Nelson Velázquez

St. Louis Cardinals

0-0

Max Exit Velo 69th

AVG

.500▼

John Rave

Kansas City Royals

1-2 · 2B

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

STL

Starter

Michael McGreevy

St. Louis Cardinals · 3-6

5.0 IP, 5 ER, 2 K, BB

xwOBA 12th

3.35 ERA · 53 K · 1.15 WHIP

Starter

Seth Lugo

Kansas City Royals · 3-4

6.0 IP, ER, 0 K, 3 BB

xwOBA 10th

3.69 ERA · 66 K · 1.35 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Royals edged out the Cardinals in a thrilling finish at Kauffman Stadium! It was a nail-biter until the very end.

The Royals powered their way to victory with a clutch performance, scoring six runs to narrowly defeat the Cardinals, who posted five runs in a dramatic showdown.
This game showcased the Royals’ resilience as they capitalized on key moments, flipping the script late and earning a hard-fought win at home.
The Cardinals fought valiantly but ultimately fell short, highlighting the intense competition as both teams aim for the playoffs.

Contact quality

STL5 R · .271 xBA

KC6 R · .351 xBA

The scoreboard matched the contact — KC both hit it harder and scored more.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

KC win5th in the AL Central, 10 GB

Looking ahead

The Royals sit 5th in the AL Central, 10 games back — losers of 2 straight, 4-6 over their last 10.
The Cardinals sit 3rd in the NL Central, 10½ games back — coming off a loss, 4-6 over their last 10.
KC wins series 2-1.
The Royals are up next at BAL (Jul 10-12).
The Cardinals are up next home vs ATL (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
STL	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	5	8	1
KC	0	0	0	4	1	1	0	0		6	9	0

Statcast

Hardest hit · KC
S. Perez · Double
110.7 mph · .700 xBA
Hardest hit · STL
B. Jordan · Groundout
106.3 mph · .410 xBA
Longest hit
J. Caglianone · Home Run
404 ft · .990 xBA
Best barrel
J. Caglianone · Home Run
110.5 mph · .990 xBA
Fastest pitch
M. Svanson · Sinker
98 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Isaac Collins
KC
+23%
Jac Caglianone
KC
+16%
Iván Herrera
STL
+15%

Scoring summary

Walker hit sacrifice fly to right, Herrera scored, Burleson to third.1st Inning1-0
Herrera singled to right, Church scored.3rd Inning2-0
Caglianone singled to center, Thomas scored.4th Inning2-1
Massey singled to center, Caglianone scored on error, Massey safe at second on throwing error by center fielder Church.4th Inning2-2
Collins doubled to left, Rave scored and Massey scored.4th Inning2-4
Caglianone homered to left (404 feet).5th Inning2-5
Tolbert hit sacrifice fly to center, Loftin scored, Collins to third.6th Inning2-6
Winn doubled to left, Nootbaar scored.9th Inning3-6
Jordan singled to right, Winn scored and Velázquez scored.9th Inning5-6

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
J. Wetherholt	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	0	14	.262	.365	.402
I. Herrera	1-2	2	1	1	1	2	0	23	.259	.401	.415
A. Burleson	1-4	4	0	1	0	0	0	17	.281	.344	.483
J. Walker	2-3	3	0	2	1	0	0	13	.295	.347	.538
L. Nootbaar	1-4	4	1	1	0	0	0	13	.267	.358	.444
M. Winn	1-4	4	1	1	1	0	1	13	.242	.320	.327
J. Crooks	0-3	3	0	0	0	0	0	12	.167	.268	.306
N. Velazquez	0-0	0	1	0	0	1	0	7	.323	.400	.581
B. Jordan	1-4	4	0	1	2	0	0	14	.300	.323	.533
B. Torres	0-0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.238	.319	.429
N. Church	1-1	1	1	1	0	1	0	9	.263	.307	.406
J. Fermin	0-2	2	0	0	0	0	0	5	.267	.316	.371

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA	PC
M. McGreevy	5.0	8	5	5	1	2	1	95-60	3.35	95
G. Soriano	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	0	18-11	3.16	18
M. Svanson	2.0	0	0	0	1	1	0	23-16	6.68	23

Win probability

STL 0%KC 100%

Win probability over timeKC win %

Biggest swing: Collins doubled to left, Rave scored and Massey scored. (+24% KC)

Team stats

STLKC

Hits

Runs

Home Runs

RBI

Stolen Bases

Walks

Strikeouts

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

STLKC

8.44%

Barrel%

8.6%

42.5%

Hard-hit%

44.22%

.330

xwOBA

.320

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant