BAL vs LAD — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballDodger Stadium · Los Angeles, California

Baltimore

Orioles

Final

ESPN UnlmtdMLB.TV

Top hitters

BAL

AVG

.258

LAD

AVG

.375

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

BAL

Starter

Trey Gibson

Baltimore Orioles · 1-2

5.0 IP, 3 ER, 8 K, 4 BB

xwOBA 1st

5.81 ERA · 20 K · 1.71 WHIP

LAD

Starter

Roki Sasaki

Los Angeles Dodgers · 3-4

5.2 IP, 3 ER, 6 K, BB

xwOBA 26th

4.76 ERA · 70 K · 1.29 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Dodgers edged the Orioles in a thrilling showdown, sealing the game 6-5 at Dodger Stadium! Let's break down the key moments that made this win a nail-biter.

The Dodgers capitalized on a strong offensive display, scoring six runs to outlast the Orioles in a high-stakes battle.
With a narrow margin of victory, the Dodgers showcased their resilience, never backing down against a fierce Orioles lineup.
This win further cements the Dodgers' position as they continue to vie for postseason success, demonstrating their clutch ability in tight contests.

Contact quality

BAL5 R · .309 xBA

LAD6 R · .381 xBA

The scoreboard matched the contact — LAD both hit it harder and scored more.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

LAD win1st in the NL West, +14½

Looking ahead

The Dodgers lead the NL West by 14½ — coming off a win, 7-3 over their last 10.
The Orioles sit 5th in the AL East, 12½ games back — coming off a win, 4-6 over their last 10.
BAL wins series 2-1.
The Dodgers are up next home vs ARI (Jul 10-12).
The Orioles are up next home vs KC (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
BAL	0	0	0	0	0	3	2	0	0	5	7	1
LAD	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	6	12	0

Statcast

Hardest hit · LAD
M. Muncy · Single
109.5 mph · .780 xBA
Hardest hit · BAL
S. Basallo · Groundout
109.1 mph · .330 xBA
Longest hit
M. Betts · Home Run
378 ft · .210 xBA
Best barrel
G. Henderson · Home Run
106.6 mph · .560 xBA
Fastest pitch
R. Helsley · 4-Seam Fastball
101.1 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Dalton Rushing
LAD
+72%
Max Muncy
LAD
+25%
Pete Alonso
BAL
+14%

Scoring summary

Muncy singled to right, Tucker scored and Betts scored.1st Inning0-2
Pages doubled to left, Freeland scored. Baltimore Orioles challenged call on the field was upheld2nd Inning0-3
Henderson homered to right (375 feet), Holliday scored.6th Inning2-3
Alonso homered to left center (375 feet).6th Inning3-3
Jackson singled to right, Cowser scored and Mayo scored, Holliday to second.7th Inning5-3
Betts homered to left (378 feet).9th Inning5-4
Rushing singled to right, Call scored on error and Ward scored on throwing error by right fielder O'Neill.9th Inning5-6

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	HR	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
T. Ward	1-4	4	0	1	0	0	0	1	13	.253	.393	.345
G. Henderson	1-4	4	1	1	2	1	0	1	15	.223	.292	.424
P. Alonso	1-4	4	1	1	1	1	0	1	14	.247	.331	.467
S. Basallo	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	0	3	16	.254	.316	.450
L. Taveras	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	16	.250	.329	.365
C. Cowser	1-3	3	1	1	0	0	1	1	19	.224	.317	.378
C. Mayo	1-4	4	1	1	0	0	0	2	18	.196	.259	.380
J. Holliday	1-2	2	1	1	0	0	1	0	13	.207	.295	.402
J. Jackson	1-3	3	0	1	2	0	0	0	8	.258	.276	.416
T. O'Neill	0-0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.184	.277	.272

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA	PC
T. Gibson	5.0	7	3	3	4	8	0	97-58	5.81	97
A. Kittredge	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	0	24-17	5.71	24
T. Wells	1.2	2	0	0	0	3	0	29-19	3.38	29
Y. Cano	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	3-3	2.13	3
R. Helsley	0.2	2	3	2	2	0	1	23-10	5.11	23

Win probability

BAL 0%LAD 100%

Win probability over timeLAD win %

Biggest swing: Rushing singled to right, Call scored on error and Ward scored on throwing error by right fielder O'Neill. (+83% LAD)

Team stats

BALLAD

Hits

Runs

Home Runs

RBI

Stolen Bases

Walks

Strikeouts

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

BALLAD

8.45%

Barrel%

10.23%

42.6%

Hard-hit%

43.07%

.320

xwOBA

.350

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant