TOR vs SD — MainMarket Sports · MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballPetco Park · San Diego, California

Sun, Jul 12 · 4:10 PM EDT

Toronto

Blue Jays

44-49 · 20-24 away

July 12 · 4:10 PM EDT

Watch

MLB.TV

San Diego

Padres

46-47 · 25-23 home

MLB.TVPadres.TV

Our prediction

Our pick · projected final

TOR4Proj5SD

Pick to winPadres to winBest betTake the Padres to win and consider betting on the over.

Confidence Low

The Blue Jays have shown offensive power this season, but they face a solid Padres pitching staff at Petco Park. The Padres are known for their strong home advantage.
Both teams have been inconsistent lately, which contributes to the uncertainty in this matchup. The Padres, however, may have the edge in clutch situations, especially at home.
Pitching matchups can greatly influence game outcomes, and the Padres' starters have performed well against left-handed hitters, which could impact the Blue Jays' lineup.

Top hitters

TOR

AVG

.297

Ernie Clement

Toronto Blue Jays

xwOBA 6th

2Nathan Lukes.289
3Vladimir Guerrero Jr..262▼
4Daulton Varsho.246

AVG

.313

Luis Campusano

San Diego Padres

Max Exit Velo 64th

2Fernando Tatis Jr..283
3Miguel Andujar.262▲
4Ty France.254

Season batting average · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

TOR

Starter

Kevin Gausman

Toronto Blue Jays · 4-8

xwOBA 57th

4.32 ERA · 108 K · 1.22 WHIP

Starter

Germán Márquez

San Diego Padres · 4-2

xwOBA 7th

5.02 ERA · 24 K · 1.43 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Matchup to watch

Daulton Varsho is 3-for-13 (.231, 1 HR) vs Márquez
Fernando Tatis Jr. is 8-for-20 (.400, 2 HR) vs Gausman

Career batter vs pitcher · MLB Stats API

Win probability

TOR 54%SD 46%

Team stats

TORSD

761

Hits

684

376

Runs

363

Home Runs

360

RBI

355

Stolen Bases

254

Walks

305

682

Strikeouts

782

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

TORSD

6.63%

Barrel%

9.24%

36.1%

Hard-hit%

43.05%

.310

xwOBA

.320

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant