PHI vs DET — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballComerica Park · Detroit, Michigan

Sun, Jul 12 · 1:40 PM EDT

Philadelphia

Phillies

51-42 · 26-21 away

July 12 · 1:40 PM EDT

Watch

MLB.TV

Detroit

Tigers

42-50 · 25-21 home

MLB.TVTigers.TV

Our prediction

Our pick · projected final

PHI4Proj5DET

Pick to winTigers to winBest betTake the Tigers to cover the spread.

Confidence Low

The Tigers have had a solid home record at Comerica Park, which gives them an edge in this matchup. Playing at home often boosts team performance, especially in crucial moments.
The Phillies have been inconsistent on the road this season, which could hinder their ability to secure a win against a competitive Tigers team. Their recent performances suggest they struggle to maintain momentum away from home.
Both teams possess strong lineups, but the Tigers' pitching staff has shown better resilience lately. This could be a key factor in limiting the Phillies' scoring opportunities.

Top hitters

PHI

AVG

.305

Brandon Marsh

Philadelphia Phillies

xwOBA 52nd

2Bryce Harper.264
3Justin Crawford.262▲
4Kyle Schwarber.254

DET

AVG

.292

Riley Greene

Detroit Tigers

xwOBA 87th

2Kevin McGonigle.287
3Dillon Dingler.264
4Colt Keith.250▼

Season batting average · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

DET

Starter

Tarik Skubal

Detroit Tigers · 5-4

xwOBA 81st

3.06 ERA · 84 K · 0.95 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Matchup to watch

Bryce Harper is 3-for-6 (.500) vs Skubal

Career batter vs pitcher · MLB Stats API

Win probability

PHI 46%DET 54%

Team stats

PHIDET

745

Hits

724

412

Runs

391

123

Home Runs

108

397

RBI

373

Stolen Bases

278

Walks

333

816

Strikeouts

799

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

PHIDET

8.39%

Barrel%

9.23%

42.67%

Hard-hit%

40.94%

.320

xwOBA

.330

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant