CHC vs CIN — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballGreat American Ball Park · Cincinnati, Ohio

Sun, Jul 12 · 1:40 PM EDT

Chicago

Cubs

52-41 · 25-22 away

July 12 · 1:40 PM EDT

Watch

MLB.TV

Cincinnati

Reds

42-49 · 21-25 home

MLB.TVReds.TV

Our prediction

Our pick · projected final

CHC4Proj5CIN

Pick to winReds to winBest betTake the Reds to win in a close match.

Confidence Low

The Cubs and Reds have both shown inconsistencies this season. The Reds have a slight edge at home, which factors into their advantage at Great American Ball Park.
Pitching matchups can significantly influence game outcomes, and the Reds' starting pitcher has been performing well recently, giving them a better chance to limit the Cubs' scoring.
While the Cubs have strong offensive capabilities, they have struggled against left-handed pitchers, which may impact their performance against the Reds' starter today.

Top hitters

CHC

AVG

.296▲

Pete Crow-Armstrong

Chicago Cubs

xwOBA 88th

2Carson Kelly.278
3Seiya Suzuki.266
4Pedro Ramírez.250

CIN

AVG

.274

Elly De La Cruz

Cincinnati Reds

xwOBA 84th

2Sal Stewart.256
3Jose Trevino.250
4Edwin Arroyo.247

Season batting average · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

CHC

Starter

Matthew Boyd

Chicago Cubs · 4-1

xwOBA 30th

4.31 ERA · 44 K · 1.31 WHIP

CIN

Starter

Andrew Abbott

Cincinnati Reds · 5-5

xwOBA 23rd

3.92 ERA · 81 K · 1.41 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Matchup to watch

Seiya Suzuki is 3-for-15 (.200, 1 HR) vs Abbott

Career batter vs pitcher · MLB Stats API

Win probability

CHC 53%CIN 47%

Team stats

CHCCIN

767

Hits

695

469

Runs

384

117

Home Runs

113

437

RBI

365

Stolen Bases

404

Walks

342

773

Strikeouts

862

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

CHCCIN

7.99%

Barrel%

10.13%

40.11%

Hard-hit%

39.52%

.330

xwOBA

.320

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant