BOS vs NYM — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballCiti Field · Queens, New York

Sun, Jul 12 · 1:40 PM EDT

Boston

Red Sox

43-48 · 26-21 away

July 12 · 1:40 PM EDT

Watch

MLB.TV

New York

Mets

40-54 · 21-25 home

MLB.TV

Our prediction

Our pick · projected final

BOS4Proj5NYM

Pick to winMets to winBest betTake the Mets to cover the spread.

Confidence Low

The Mets have shown a solid home record this season, which gives them a slight edge in this matchup. Playing at Citi Field can benefit pitchers, potentially limiting the scoring opportunities for the Red Sox.
Boston's recent performance has been inconsistent, particularly on the road. This could impact their ability to generate runs against a Mets pitching staff that has been performing well at home.
Both teams have offensive strengths, but the Mets have a deeper lineup that can capitalize on mistakes. The combination of their home advantage and the Red Sox's recent struggles leads to a close game.

Top hitters

BOS

AVG

.295▲

Connor Wong

Boston Red Sox

Sprint Speed 51st

2Anthony Seigler.283
3Ceddanne Rafaela.283
4Wilyer Abreu.260▼

NYM

AVG

.297

Juan Soto

New York Mets

xwOBA 99th

2A.J. Ewing.277▲
3Carson Benge.269
4Bo Bichette.256

Season batting average · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Win probability

BOS 48%NYM 52%

Team stats

BOSNYM

739

Hits

732

370

Runs

387

Home Runs

108

353

RBI

369

Stolen Bases

268

Walks

286

744

Strikeouts

765

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

BOSNYM

7.51%

Barrel%

10.09%

37.41%

Hard-hit%

42.38%

.310

xwOBA

.340

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant