MIL vs PIT — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballPNC Park · Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

Sun, Jul 12 · 12:15 PM EDT

Milwaukee

Brewers

59-34 · 30-16 away

July 12 · 12:15 PM EDT

Watch

Peacock

Pittsburgh

Pirates

47-47 · 24-24 home

Peacock

Our prediction

Our pick · projected final

MIL4Proj5PIT

Pick to winPirates to winBest betTake the Pirates to win by a narrow margin.

Confidence Low

The Brewers have shown inconsistency in their recent performances, which raises concerns about their ability to secure a win on the road against the Pirates.
The Pirates, playing at home, have a slight edge in this matchup, especially considering their recent form at PNC Park.
Both teams have solid pitching staffs, but the Pirates may have a slight advantage in their lineup depth, which could be crucial in a tight game.

Top hitters

MIL

AVG

.319▼

Andrew Vaughn

Milwaukee Brewers

Max Exit Velo 40th

2Jackson Chourio.284
3William Contreras.281▼
4Garrett Mitchell.274▲

PIT

AVG

.311

Jake Mangum

Pittsburgh Pirates

xwOBA 16th

2Nick Gonzales.310▲
3Esmerlyn Valdez.293▲
4Ryan O'Hearn.289▲

Season batting average · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

MIL

Starter

Jacob Misiorowski

Milwaukee Brewers · 10-4

xwOBA 99th

1.62 ERA · 167 K · 0.76 WHIP

PIT

Starter

Paul Skenes

Pittsburgh Pirates · 7-8

xwOBA 93rd

3.58 ERA · 123 K · 1.04 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Matchup to watch

William Contreras is 1-for-11 (.091) vs Skenes
Nick Gonzales is 2-for-8 (.250) vs Misiorowski

Career batter vs pitcher · MLB Stats API

Win probability

MIL 52%PIT 48%

Team stats

MILPIT

808

Hits

857

476

Runs

492

Home Runs

120

450

RBI

472

Stolen Bases

382

Walks

356

759

Strikeouts

882

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

MILPIT

7.98%

Barrel%

7.86%

40.26%

Hard-hit%

40.74%

.320

xwOBA

.320

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant