ARI vs LAD — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballDodger Stadium · Los Angeles, California

Sun, Jul 12 · 4:10 PM EDT

Arizona

Diamondbacks

45-47 · 18-27 away

July 12 · 4:10 PM EDT

Watch

ESPN Unlmtd

Los Angeles

Dodgers

61-33 · 31-16 home

ESPN UnlmtdMLB.TVDBACKS.TV

Our prediction

Our pick · projected final

ARI4Proj5LAD

Pick to winDodgers to winBest betLook for the Dodgers to cover the spread.

Confidence Medium

The Diamondbacks have shown resilience this season, but their away performance has been inconsistent. They will need to find a way to overcome the Dodgers' strong home advantage.
The Dodgers are historically tough at Dodger Stadium, and their lineup is capable of producing runs against any pitching staff. Their home-field advantage adds to their likelihood of success.
While both teams have similar offensive stats, the Dodgers' pitching depth gives them a slight edge in this matchup. Expect a competitive game with both sides having opportunities.

Top hitters

ARI

AVG

.294▲

Gabriel Moreno

Arizona Diamondbacks

xwOBA 87th

2Ketel Marte.266
3Corbin Carroll.261▼
4Ildemaro Vargas.257▼

LAD

AVG

.351

Tommy Edman

Los Angeles Dodgers

Sprint Speed 47th

2Freddie Freeman.296▲
3Shohei Ohtani.290
4Miguel Rojas.284▲

Season batting average · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

LAD

Starter

Emmet Sheehan

Los Angeles Dodgers · 4-6

xwOBA 56th

4.91 ERA · 86 K · 1.27 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Matchup to watch

Ketel Marte is 1-for-5 (.200, 1 HR) vs Sheehan

Career batter vs pitcher · MLB Stats API

Win probability

ARI 26%LAD 74%

Team stats

ARILAD

724

Hits

836

390

Runs

498

Home Runs

124

375

RBI

468

Stolen Bases

288

Walks

383

663

Strikeouts

736

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

ARILAD

7.17%

Barrel%

10.23%

38.35%

Hard-hit%

43.07%

.340

xwOBA

.350

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant