ATL vs STL — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballBusch Stadium · St. Louis, Missouri

Sun, Jul 12 · 2:15 PM EDT

Atlanta

Braves

54-38 · 27-20 away

July 12 · 2:15 PM EDT

Watch

MLB.TV

St. Louis

Cardinals

48-43 · 24-24 home

MLB.TVBravesVisionCardinals.TV

Our prediction

Our pick · projected final

ATL4Proj5STL

Pick to winCardinals to winBest betTake the Cardinals to win at home and consider the total going over.

Confidence Low

The Braves have shown a potent offense this season, but playing at Busch Stadium presents a different challenge. The Cardinals tend to perform well at home, especially against strong lineups.
Cardinals' pitching has the potential to neutralize the Braves' bats, particularly if they can limit walks and home runs. This will be key in determining the game's outcome.
Given the recent performances of both teams, the Cardinals appear to have a slight edge, especially in high-pressure moments at home. However, the Braves' resilience cannot be underestimated.

Top hitters

ATL

AVG

.304

Michael Harris II

Atlanta Braves

xwOBA 88th

2Mauricio Dubón.273▲
3Ozzie Albies.272
4Matt Olson.270

STL

AVG

.294

Jordan Walker

St. Louis Cardinals

xwOBA 91st

2Alec Burleson.277▼
3José Fermín.270
4JJ Wetherholt.263

Season batting average · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

ATL

Starter

Hurston Waldrep

Atlanta Braves · 0-1

Fastball Velo 44th

8.44 ERA · 9 K · 2.16 WHIP

STL

Starter

Dustin May

St. Louis Cardinals · 5-6

xwOBA 60th

4.55 ERA · 85 K · 1.25 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Matchup to watch

Matt Olson is 0-for-8 (.000) vs May

Career batter vs pitcher · MLB Stats API

Win probability

ATL 53%STL 47%

Team stats

ATLSTL

768

Hits

748

444

Runs

416

117

Home Runs

104

432

RBI

404

Stolen Bases

269

Walks

292

731

Strikeouts

702

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

ATLSTL

9.56%

Barrel%

8.44%

41.64%

Hard-hit%

42.5%

.330

xwOBA

.330

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant