CLE vs MIN — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballTarget Field · Minneapolis, Minnesota

Cleveland

Guardians

Final

MLB.TVCLEGuardians.TVTwins.TV+1

Top hitters

CLE

AVG

.288▲

MIN

AVG

.400

Alan Roden

Minnesota Twins

2-5 · 2 RBI

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

CLE

Starter

Slade Cecconi

Cleveland Guardians · 4-6

3.2 IP, 3 ER, 4 K, BB

xwOBA 30th

4.55 ERA · 77 K · 1.41 WHIP

MIN

Starter

Connor Prielipp

Minnesota Twins · 2-5

5.0 IP, 3 ER, 6 K, 2 BB

xwOBA 45th

5.00 ERA · 71 K · 1.37 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Twins edged out the Guardians 6-5 in a thrilling showdown at Target Field! A standout performance from the Twins' lineup propelled them to victory, showcasing their offensive firepower.

The Twins' offense was relentless, racking up six runs, which proved just enough to outlast the Guardians in this nail-biter.
A standout performance from the Twins' hitters highlighted their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities, ultimately making the difference in this close contest.
With this win, the Twins continue to strengthen their position in the standings, showcasing their determination as they push toward the postseason.

Starters: Slade Cecconi vs Connor PrielippBatting average: B. Buxton (.271)ERA: J. Ryan (3.36)

How our pick did

Pick to winTwins to winHit ✓

Contact quality

CLE5 R · .339 xBA

MIN6 R · .358 xBA

The scoreboard matched the contact — MIN both hit it harder and scored more.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

MIN win3rd in the AL Central, 2 GB

Looking ahead

The Twins sit 3rd in the AL Central, 2 games back — coming off a loss, 7-3 over their last 10.
The Guardians sit 2nd in the AL Central — coming off a win, 4-6 over their last 10.
MIN wins series 2-1.
The Twins are up next home vs LAA (Jul 10-12).
The Guardians are up next at MIA (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
CLE	0	0	0	3	0	0	2	0	0	5	8	0
MIN	0	0	0	3	0	0	2	0	1	6	11	1

Statcast

Hardest hit · MIN
R. Kreidler · Forceout
109.5 mph · .120 xBA
Hardest hit · CLE
R. Hoskins · Home Run
105.7 mph · .930 xBA
Longest hit
B. Rocchio · Home Run
401 ft · .820 xBA
Best barrel
R. Hoskins · Home Run
105.7 mph · .930 xBA
Fastest pitch
C. Smith · 4-Seam Fastball
99.9 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Kody Clemens
MIN
+38%
Cade Smith
CLE
+35%
Alan Roden
MIN
+31%

Scoring summary

Rocchio homered to left (401 feet), DeLauter scored.4th Inning2-0
Hoskins homered to left (383 feet).4th Inning3-0
Lewis walked, Lee scored, Bell to second, Clemens to third.4th Inning3-1
Keaschall hit sacrifice fly to center, Clemens scored.4th Inning3-2
Roden singled to center, Bell scored, Lewis to third.4th Inning3-3
DeLauter singled to right, Watson scored, Kwan to third.7th Inning4-3
Rocchio hit sacrifice bunt, Kwan scored, Rocchio to first on fielding error by pitcher Rogers, DeLauter to second.7th Inning5-3
Lee walked, Keaschall scored, Martin to second, Kreidler to third.7th Inning5-4
Clemens walked, Kreidler scored, Lee to second, Martin to third.7th Inning5-5
Roden singled to center, Lewis scored, Keaschall to second, Jackson to third.9th Inning5-6

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	HR	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
D. Fry	0-3	3	0	0	0	0	0	2	22	.205	.318	.378
S. Kwan	1-1	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	11	.221	.329	.277
C. DeLauter	2-4	4	1	2	1	0	1	1	22	.279	.346	.428
B. Rocchio	1-4	4	1	1	3	1	0	0	8	.272	.343	.399
R. Hoskins	1-4	4	1	1	1	1	1	1	13	.181	.320	.371
T. Bazzana	1-3	3	0	1	0	0	2	2	28	.246	.338	.404
G. Arias	0-2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	6	.213	.259	.388
D. Schneemann	0-3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	16	.211	.280	.332
K. Manzardo	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	19	.219	.311	.371
A. Hedges	2-4	4	0	2	0	0	0	1	15	.288	.348	.416
K. Watson	0-3	3	1	0	0	0	1	2	13	.222	.258	.317

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	PC-ST	ERA	PC
S. Cecconi	3.2	6	3	3	1	4	67-42	4.55	67
C. Holderman	1.1	0	0	0	0	0	8-6	1.87	8
T. Herrin	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	6-3	3.06	6
S. Armstrong	0.2	0	2	2	2	0	18-7	4.76	18
E. Sabrowski	0.0	0	0	0	3	0	14-2	3.33	14
H. Gaddis	0.2	2	0	0	0	0	18-11	2.93	18
C. Smith	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	23-15	2.83	23
M. Festa	0.2	3	1	1	1	1	31-19	3.99	31

Win probability

CLE 0%MIN 100%

Win probability over timeMIN win %

Biggest swing: Roden singled to center, Lewis scored, Keaschall to second, Jackson to third. (+36% MIN)

Team stats

CLEMIN

691

Hits

772

363

Runs

451

Home Runs

117

346

RBI

429

Stolen Bases

338

Walks

304

762

Strikeouts

761

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

CLEMIN

6.39%

Barrel%

8.83%

35.64%

Hard-hit%

37.83%

.310

xwOBA

.320

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant