SD vs LAD — MainMarket Sports · MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballDodger Stadium · Los Angeles, California

San Diego

Padres

Final

PeacockERADM

Top hitters

AVG

.286

Luis Campusano

San Diego Padres

1-2

Max Exit Velo 64thvs RHP .333

LAD

AVG

.347

Tommy Edman

Los Angeles Dodgers

0-1

Sprint Speed 47thvs LHP .389

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

Starter

JP Sears

San Diego Padres · 2-1

5.0 IP, 0 ER, 5 K, 2 BB

Fastball Velo 23rd

4.70 ERA · 14 K · 1.37 WHIP

LAD

Starter

Emmet Sheehan

Los Angeles Dodgers · 4-6

4.1 IP, ER, 5 K, 3 BB

xwOBA 56th

4.91 ERA · 86 K · 1.27 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Padres took down the Dodgers 5-2 in a thrilling finale at Dodger Stadium! A standout performance from the Padres' lineup powered them to victory, outpacing the Dodgers in key moments.

The Padres' offense was on fire, racking up five runs to secure a solid win against the Dodgers.
The difference-maker was the Padres' ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities, while the Dodgers struggled to convert their chances.
With this victory, the Padres continue to assert their dominance, showcasing their strength in a crucial matchup against a division rival.

Starters: JP Sears vs Emmet SheehanBatting average: F. Freeman (.297)ERA: Y. Yamamoto (2.49)

How our pick did

Pick to winDodgers to winMiss

Contact quality

SD5 R · .214 xBA

LAD2 R · .252 xBA

SD scored more despite the lower team xBA — LAD squared more up and had less to show for it.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

SD win2nd in the NL West, 14 GB

Looking ahead

The Padres sit 2nd in the NL West, 14 games back — winners of 2 straight, 3-7 over their last 10.
The Dodgers lead the NL West by 14 — coming off a win, 7-3 over their last 10.
The win pulls the Padres back to .500 at 46-46.
LAD win series 3-1.
The Padres are up next home vs ARI (Jul 9), then home vs TOR.
The Dodgers are up next home vs ARI (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
SD	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	0	0	5	8	0
LAD	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	4	0

Statcast

Hardest hit · LAD
A. Pages · Groundout
105.2 mph · .510 xBA
Hardest hit · SD
G. Sheets · Groundout
103 mph · .570 xBA
Longest hit
M. Machado · Home Run
407 ft · .660 xBA
Best barrel
M. Machado · Home Run
102 mph · .660 xBA
Fastest pitch
M. Miller · 4-Seam Fastball
102.8 mph

Game MVP · win probability

JP Sears
SD
+30%
Jack Dreyer
LAD
+20%
Manny Machado
SD
+16%

Scoring summary

Merrill singled to right, Machado scored, Sheets to third.4th Inning1-0
Tatis Jr. reached on infield single to third, Song scored, Campusano to second. Los Angeles Dodgers challenged: call on the field was upheld.7th Inning2-0
Machado homered to center (407 feet), Campusano scored and Tatis Jr. scored.7th Inning5-0
Freeland singled to center, T. Hernández scored, Tucker to second.7th Inning5-1
Ohtani singled to center, Tucker scored, Freeland to third.7th Inning5-2

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	HR	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
F. Tatis Jr.	3-5	5	1	3	1	0	0	1	18	.284	.345	.386
J. Cronenworth	0-2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	9	.168	.277	.235
M. Andujar	0-3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	14	.257	.296	.408
M. Machado	1-2	2	2	1	3	1	3	0	18	.189	.282	.410
G. Sheets	1-5	5	0	1	0	0	0	0	20	.236	.324	.456
J. Bowen	0-0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.118	.167	.147
T. France	0-5	5	0	0	0	0	0	1	20	.253	.311	.469
J. Merrill	1-4	4	0	1	1	0	0	2	20	.214	.271	.355
X. Bogaerts	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	16	.231	.321	.337
S. Song	1-3	3	1	1	0	0	1	0	19	.239	.338	.328
L. Campusano	1-2	2	1	1	0	0	2	0	23	.286	.375	.571

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	PC-ST	ERA	PC
J. Sears	5.0	1	0	0	2	5	76-45	4.70	76
Y. Matsui	0.2	0	0	0	2	0	14-5	2.03	14
B. Rodriguez	0.2	0	1	1	1	1	18-8	2.21	18
A. Morejon	1.2	3	1	1	1	3	38-24	3.52	38
M. Miller	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17-12	0.98	17

Win probability

SD 100%LAD 0%

Win probability over timeLAD win %

Biggest swing: Machado homered to center (407 feet), Campusano scored and Tatis Jr. scored. (+16% SD)

Team stats

SDLAD

646

Hits

804

343

Runs

481

Home Runs

122

335

RBI

453

Stolen Bases

291

Walks

369

744

Strikeouts

705

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

SDLAD

9.23%

Barrel%

10.23%

43.06%

Hard-hit%

43.07%

.320

xwOBA

.350

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant