MIA vs ATH — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballSutter Health Park · Sacramento, California

Miami

Marlins

51-42 · 21-25 away

Final

Athletics

41-51 · 19-28 home

Peacock

Top hitters

MIA

AVG

.346▲

Otto Lopez

Miami Marlins

3-4 · 2B · HR · 3 RBI

xwOBA 68thvs LHP .446

ATH

AVG

.409▲

Joshua Kuroda-Grauer

Athletics

1-4

Sprint Speed 55thvs RHP .500

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

MIA

Starter

Eury Pérez

Miami Marlins · 5-6

7.0 IP, 0 ER, 8 K, 0 BB

xwOBA 47th

3.84 ERA · 89 K · 1.10 WHIP

ATH

Starter

Gage Jump

Athletics · 3-3

3.0 IP, 5 ER, K, 3 BB

xwOBA 52nd

3.77 ERA · 41 K · 1.30 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Marlins edged out the Athletics in a thrilling 9-8 showdown at Sutter Health Park! The standout performance from the Marlins' lineup propelled them to victory, showcasing their offensive firepower.

The Marlins showcased their offensive prowess, scoring a whopping 9 runs, which ultimately outpaced the Athletics' 8 runs in this high-scoring affair.
This nail-biter featured a dramatic back-and-forth, but the Marlins' ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities proved crucial in clinching the win.
Both teams fought hard, but the Marlins' relentless batting lineup shone through, making the difference in a game that kept fans on the edge of their seats.

Starters: Eury Perez vs Gage JumpBatting average: N. Kurtz (.278)ERA: J.T. Ginn (3.04)

How our pick did

Pick to winAthletics to winMiss

Contact quality

MIA9 R · .346 xBA

ATH8 R · .244 xBA

The scoreboard matched the contact — MIA both hit it harder and scored more.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

MIA win3rd in the NL East, 3½ GB

Looking ahead

The Marlins sit 3rd in the NL East, 3½ games back — winners of 5 straight, 7-3 over their last 10.
The Athletics sit 4th in the AL West, 5½ games back — losers of 5 straight, 1-9 over their last 10.
MIA wins series 3-0.
The Marlins are up next home vs SEA (Jul 9), then home vs CLE.
The Athletics are up next at DET (Jul 9), then at CHW.

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
MIA	1	2	3	0	0	2	0	0	1	9	16	0
ATH	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	3	8	7	1

Statcast

Hardest hit
H. Bolte · Groundout
109.6 mph · .150 xBA
Hardest hit · MIA
H. Hernández · Double
108.6 mph · .680 xBA
Longest hit
H. Hernández · Home Run
437 ft · 1.000 xBA
Best barrel
E. Ruiz · Double
105.8 mph · .840 xBA
Fastest pitch
E. Alvarado · 4-Seam Fastball
100.9 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Eury Pérez
MIA
+17%
Heriberto Hernández
MIA
+13%
Otto Lopez
MIA
+12%

Scoring summary

Hernández homered to center (437 feet).1st Inning1-0
Lopez hit a ground rule double, Marsee scored, Navarreto to third.2nd Inning2-0
Hicks hit sacrifice fly to center, Navarreto scored.2nd Inning3-0
Jiménez homered to left center (405 feet), Ruiz scored.3rd Inning5-0
Lopez hit sacrifice fly to left, Marsee scored, Navarreto to third.3rd Inning6-0
Lopez homered to center (420 feet).6th Inning7-0
Hernández homered to center (422 feet).6th Inning8-0
Cortes doubled to right, Butler scored, Kuroda-Grauer to third.8th Inning8-1
Heim homered to right (371 feet), Kuroda-Grauer scored, Cortes scored and Muncy scored.8th Inning8-5
Hicks grounded out to pitcher, Lopez scored, Hernández to third.9th Inning9-5
Gelof scored on a passed ball by Mack, Butler to third on passed ball by Mack.9th Inning9-6
Gelof scored on a passed ball by Mack, Butler to third on passed ball by Mack.9th Inning9-6
Heim singled to center, Butler scored and Muncy scored.9th Inning9-8

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	HR	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
O. Lopez	3-4	4	2	3	3	1	1	0	32	.346	.376	.520
H. Hernandez	3-4	4	2	3	2	2	2	1	21	.234	.314	.457
L. Hicks	2-5	5	0	2	2	0	0	0	29	.286	.362	.460
X. Edwards	2-4	4	0	2	0	0	2	1	27	.302	.387	.427
J. Sanoja	1-6	6	0	1	0	0	0	0	16	.278	.321	.416
E. Ruiz	1-3	3	1	1	0	0	1	0	22	.244	.349	.489
L. Jimenez	1-4	4	1	1	2	1	1	0	15	.202	.298	.273
J. Marsee	1-1	1	2	1	0	0	0	0	6	.192	.316	.296
G. Conine	0-2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	13	.226	.351	.419
B. Navarreto	2-4	4	1	2	0	0	0	0	14	.222	.300	.333
J. Mack	0-1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	5	.254	.312	.437

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA	PC
E. Perez	7.0	0	0	0	0	8	0	92-56	3.84	92
L. Bachar	0.0	4	5	5	2	0	1	26-13	3.83	26
M. Petersen	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	9-6	3.08	9
P. Fairbanks	1.0	3	3	2	1	1	0	29-20	7.27	29

Win probability

MIA 100%ATH 0%

Win probability over timeATH win %

Biggest swing: Lopez hit a ground rule double, Marsee scored, Navarreto to third. (+12% MIA)

Team stats

MIAATH

752

Hits

755

409

Runs

408

Home Runs

113

394

RBI

392

Stolen Bases

307

Walks

327

734

Strikeouts

771

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

MIAATH

7.61%

Barrel%

9.07%

39.97%

Hard-hit%

41.61%

.320

xwOBA

.320

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant