MIA vs COL — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballCoors Field · Denver, Colorado

Miami

Marlins

Final

MLB.TVRockies.TVMarlins.TV

Top hitters

MIA

AVG

.333▲

Otto Lopez

Miami Marlins

2-5 · 2B · HR · 1 RBI

xwOBA 68thvs LHP .446

COL

AVG

.312

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

MIA

Starter

Sandy Alcantara

Miami Marlins · 9-4

5.2 IP, 5 ER, 3 K, 5 BB

xwOBA 60th

4.20 ERA · 84 K · 1.28 WHIP

COL

Starter

Sean Sullivan

Colorado Rockies · 0-2

4.2 IP, 5 ER, 5 K, 2 BB

Fastball Spin 44th

8.64 ERA · 12 K · 1.86 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Marlins triumphed over the Rockies with a final score of 10-7 in a thrilling contest! The decisive edge came from the Marlins' powerful offense, which outmatched Colorado's pitching throughout the game.

The Marlins showcased their offensive firepower, racking up 10 runs to claim victory at Coors Field. This explosion at the plate proved too much for the Rockies to handle, despite their best efforts.
In a game where every run counted, the Marlins' ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities made all the difference. With this win, Miami continues to build momentum as they eye a strong finish to the season.

Starters: Sandy Alcantara vs Sean SullivanBatting average: T. Johnston (.315)ERA: T. Sugano (4.80)

How our pick did

Pick to winCOL to winMiss

Contact quality

MIA10 R · .311 xBA

COL7 R · .319 xBA

MIA scored more despite the lower team xBA — COL squared more up and had less to show for it.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

MIA win3rd in the NL East, 3 GB

Looking ahead

The Marlins sit 3rd in the NL East, 3 games back — winners of 6 straight, 8-2 over their last 10.
The Rockies sit 5th in the NL West, 23 games back — coming off a loss, 5-5 over their last 10.
Series tied 2-2.
The Marlins are up next home vs CLE (Jul 10-12).
The Rockies are up next at SF (Jul 9-11).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
MIA	0	2	0	0	4	0	4	0	0	10	13	0
COL	0	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	7	10	0

Statcast

Hardest hit · MIA
G. Conine · Home Run
110.1 mph · 1.000 xBA
Hardest hit · COL
C. Carrigg · Single
109.9 mph · .870 xBA
Longest hit
H. Goodman · Home Run
442 ft · 1.000 xBA
Best barrel
K. Stowers · Double
109.3 mph · .950 xBA
Fastest pitch
A. Senzatela · 4-Seam Fastball
99.3 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Griffin Conine
MIA
+35%
Javier Sanoja
MIA
+28%
Kyle Karros
COL
+17%

Scoring summary

Jiménez doubled to center, Stowers scored and Hernández scored.2nd Inning2-0
Tovar hit sacrifice fly to left, Rumfield scored.2nd Inning2-1
McCarthy doubled to left, Carrigg scored and Karros scored, Julien to third.2nd Inning2-3
Karros doubled to left, Johnston scored and Carrigg scored.3rd Inning2-5
Lopez homered to right center (394 feet).5th Inning3-5
Conine homered to right (433 feet), Edwards scored and Stowers scored.5th Inning6-5
Sanoja tripled to right, Caissie scored, Stowers scored and Conine scored.7th Inning9-5
Mack reached on infield single to third, Sanoja scored.7th Inning10-5
Goodman homered to left center (442 feet).7th Inning10-6
Moniak grounded out to second, Julien scored, McCarthy to third.9th Inning10-7

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	HR	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
O. Lopez	2-5	5	1	2	1	1	0	0	16	.333	.366	.486
X. Edwards	1-5	5	1	1	0	0	0	0	16	.297	.377	.426
E. Ruiz	0-3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	6	.256	.354	.512
O. Caissie	2-2	2	1	2	0	0	0	0	5	.239	.296	.433
G. Pauley	0-0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.176	.219	.297
H. Hernandez	1-3	3	1	1	0	0	2	0	23	.219	.296	.396
K. Stowers	1-3	3	3	1	0	0	1	1	19	.228	.320	.420
L. Jimenez	1-2	2	0	1	2	0	0	1	9	.195	.295	.232
G. Conine	1-2	2	2	1	3	1	1	1	16	.227	.320	.477
J. Marsee	0-5	5	0	0	0	0	0	2	21	.193	.313	.293
J. Sanoja	3-5	5	1	3	3	0	0	0	14	.266	.305	.383
J. Mack	1-4	4	0	1	1	0	0	0	13	.250	.309	.383

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA	PC
S. Alcantara	5.2	7	5	5	5	3	0	96-55	4.20	96
M. Petersen	1.1	1	1	1	0	1	1	17-11	3.22	17
C. Faucher	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	9-6	3.38	9
P. Fairbanks	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	0	19-13	6.84	19

Win probability

MIA 100%COL 0%

Win probability over timeCOL win %

Biggest swing: Conine homered to right (433 feet), Edwards scored and Stowers scored. (+35% MIA)

Team stats

MIACOL

680

Hits

728

359

Runs

387

Home Runs

345

RBI

371

Stolen Bases

280

Walks

258

690

Strikeouts

745

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

MIACOL

7.61%

Barrel%

7.33%

39.97%

Hard-hit%

38.26%

.320

xwOBA

.320

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant