COL vs MIN — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballTarget Field · Minneapolis, Minnesota

Colorado

Rockies

Final

MLB.TVTwins.TVRockies.TV

Top hitters

COL

AVG

.314

MIN

AVG

.289

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

COL

Starter

Tomoyuki Sugano

Colorado Rockies · 8-4

5.0 IP, 7 ER, 2 K, BB

xwOBA 1st

4.80 ERA · 48 K · 1.32 WHIP

MIN

Starter

Taj Bradley

Minnesota Twins · 6-3

7.0 IP, 2 ER, 7 K, 3 BB

xwOBA 60th

3.98 ERA · 91 K · 1.28 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Twins edged out the Rockies in a thrilling 9-8 finale at Target Field! A standout performance from the Twins' lineup, who racked up those crucial runs, sealed the victory.

The Twins showcased their offensive prowess, pushing across nine runs to outlast the Rockies in a wild contest. This high-scoring showdown was a testament to their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities.
A key factor in the Twins' success was their ability to maintain pressure, scoring consistently throughout the game. Their relentless approach at the plate ultimately proved too much for the Rockies' pitching staff.
Despite a valiant effort by the Rockies, who kept the game close, it was the Twins' explosive batting that made the difference. This victory not only boosts their confidence but also adds to their momentum as they push forward.

Starters: Tomoyuki Sugano vs Taj BradleyBatting average: B. Buxton (.270)ERA: J. Ryan (3.18)

How our pick did

Pick to winMIN to winHit ✓

Contact quality

COL8 R · .314 xBA

MIN9 R · .307 xBA

MIN scored more despite the lower team xBA — COL squared more up and had less to show for it.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

MIN win3rd in the AL Central, 2 GB

Looking ahead

The Twins sit 3rd in the AL Central, 2 games back — coming off a loss, 7-3 over their last 10.
The Rockies sit 5th in the NL West, 23½ games back — losers of 2 straight, 5-5 over their last 10.
MIN wins series 2-1.
The Twins are up next home vs LAA (Jul 10-12).
The Rockies are up next at SF (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
COL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	5	0	8	11	1
MIN	2	2	0	0	3	0	0	0	1	1	9	14	0

Statcast

Hardest hit · COL
H. Goodman · Home Run
116.2 mph · 1.000 xBA
Hardest hit · MIN
K. Clemens · GIDP
107.3 mph · .440 xBA
Longest hit
H. Goodman · Home Run
451 ft · 1.000 xBA
Best barrel
J. McCarthy · Double
108.6 mph · .730 xBA
Fastest pitch
S. Halvorsen · 4-Seam Fastball
100.8 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Hunter Goodman
COL
+54%
Byron Buxton
MIN
+42%
Andrew Morris
MIN
+31%

Scoring summary

Clemens homered to right (380 feet), Buxton scored.1st Inning0-2
Lee homered to right (348 feet), Lewis scored.2nd Inning0-4
Buxton doubled to left, Larnach scored.5th Inning0-5
Bell doubled to left, Clemens scored and Buxton scored.5th Inning0-7
Moniak grounded out to first, Tovar scored, McCarthy to second, Julien to third.8th Inning1-7
Goodman hit sacrifice fly to right, Julien scored, McCarthy to third.8th Inning2-7
Rumfield singled to center, McCarthy scored.8th Inning3-7
Julien doubled to center, Carrigg scored.9th Inning4-7
McCarthy homered to right center (381 feet), Julien scored.9th Inning6-7
Goodman homered to left (451 feet), Fulford scored.9th Inning8-7
Buxton singled to left, Martin scored, Kreidler to second.9th Inning8-8
Lewis singled to center, Fedko scored, Caratini to second.10th Inning8-9

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	HR	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
J. McCarthy	3-5	5	2	3	2	1	0	1	11	.303	.343	.486
M. Moniak	0-4	4	0	0	1	0	0	0	15	.275	.328	.581
K. Karros	1-1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	.252	.341	.378
B. Fulford	0-0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	.231	.319	.385
A. Senzatela	0-0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000
J. Herget	0-0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000
H. Goodman	1-4	4	1	1	3	1	0	1	18	.240	.307	.510
T. Rumfield	2-3	3	0	2	1	0	2	0	21	.288	.367	.488
W. Castro	1-5	5	0	1	0	0	0	2	19	.280	.353	.407
T. Johnston	1-3	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	12	.314	.377	.441
T. Freeman	0-2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	6	.277	.357	.367
C. Carrigg	0-4	4	1	0	0	0	1	1	15	.250	.365	.500

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA	PC
T. Sugano	5.0	8	7	7	1	2	2	85-49	4.80	85
S. Halvorsen	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	10-8	3.12	10
J. Mejia	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	13-8	6.56	13
J. Brebbia	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	22-17	0.00	22
A. Senzatela	1.0	3	1	1	0	1	0	20-15	2.28	20
J. Herget	0.0	1	1	0	1	0	0	3-2	4.19	3

Win probability

COL 0%MIN 100%

Win probability over timeMIN win %

Biggest swing: Goodman homered to left (451 feet), Fulford scored. (+54% COL)

Team stats

COLMIN

698

Hits

679

369

Runs

395

Home Runs

100

353

RBI

374

Stolen Bases

249

Walks

275

719

Strikeouts

681

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

COLMIN

7.33%

Barrel%

8.83%

38.26%

Hard-hit%

37.83%

.320

xwOBA

.320

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant