LAD vs MIN — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballTarget Field · Minneapolis, Minnesota

Los Angeles

Dodgers

61-33 · 26-15 away

Final

Minnesota

Twins

46-48 · 20-22 home

MLB.TVTwins.TV

Top hitters

LAD

AVG

.364

MIN

AVG

.317

Alex Jackson

Minnesota Twins

0-0

Sprint Speed 54thvs RHP .351

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

LAD

Starter

Shohei Ohtani

Los Angeles Dodgers · 8-2

6.0 IP, 2 ER, 8 K, 2 BB

xwOBA 94th

1.58 ERA · 86 K · 0.90 WHIP

MIN

Starter

Joe Ryan

Minnesota Twins · 5-4

6.0 IP, 4 ER, 9 K, BB

xwOBA 85th

3.18 ERA · 108 K · 1.03 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Dodgers edge the Twins in a thrilling nail-biter at Target Field! Let's break down how this game unfolded.

The Dodgers' sharp execution at the plate paid off, as they brought home four runs to secure a thrilling win.
With a stellar showing, the Dodgers showcased their resilience, coming back to outlast the Twins in a fierce battle.
This victory keeps the Dodgers in the chase, showing they can rise to the occasion in tight matchups like this one.

Starters: Shohei Ohtani vs Joe RyanBatting average: B. Buxton (.275)ERA: J. Ryan (2.99)

How our pick did

Pick to winLAD to winHit ✓

Contact quality

LAD4 R · .308 xBA

MIN3 R · .313 xBA

LAD scored more despite the lower team xBA — MIN squared more up and had less to show for it.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

LAD win1st in the NL West, +14

Looking ahead

The Dodgers lead the NL West by 14 — coming off a win, 7-3 over their last 10.
The Twins sit 3rd in the AL Central, 2 games back — coming off a loss, 7-3 over their last 10.
LAD win series 3-0.
The Dodgers are up next home vs ARI (Jul 10-12).
The Twins are up next home vs LAA (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
LAD	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	10	0
MIN	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	8	0

Statcast

Hardest hit · LAD
S. Ohtani · Lineout
110.7 mph · .890 xBA
Hardest hit · MIN
R. Lewis · Single
108 mph · .830 xBA
Longest hit
M. Betts · Home Run
399 ft · .600 xBA
Best barrel
M. Betts · Home Run
101 mph · .600 xBA
Fastest pitch
S. Ohtani · 4-Seam Fastball
101.7 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Tanner Scott
LAD
+20%
Shohei Ohtani
LAD
+19%
Mookie Betts
LAD
+19%

Scoring summary

Betts homered to left center (399 feet).2nd Inning1-0
Caratini scored on a passed ball by Rushing, Gray to second on passed ball by Rushing, Lee to third on passed ball by Rushing.2nd Inning1-1
Caratini scored on a passed ball by Rushing, Gray to second on passed ball by Rushing, Lee to third on passed ball by Rushing.2nd Inning1-1
Kreidler singled to center, Lee scored and Gray scored, Kreidler thrown out at second.2nd Inning1-3
Ohtani singled to center, Freeland scored.3rd Inning2-3
Muncy singled to right, Ohtani scored, Betts to second, Freeman to third.3rd Inning3-3
Call hit sacrifice fly to right, Freeman scored.3rd Inning4-3

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	HR	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
S. Ohtani	2-5	5	1	2	1	0	0	2	16	.295	.414	.549
A. Pages	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	17	.266	.318	.474
F. Freeman	2-3	3	1	2	0	0	1	1	15	.282	.372	.486
M. Betts	3-4	4	1	3	1	1	0	0	14	.230	.290	.415
M. Muncy	2-4	4	0	2	1	0	0	2	14	.266	.365	.508
A. Call	0-3	3	0	0	1	0	0	0	11	.262	.371	.340
R. Ward	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	20	.204	.271	.444
T. Edman	0-0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.364	.417	.409
D. Rushing	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	0	3	13	.245	.331	.468
A. Freeland	1-4	4	1	1	0	0	0	1	19	.241	.324	.340

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	PC-ST	ERA	PC
S. Ohtani	6.0	5	3	2	2	8	89-57	1.58	89
K. Hurt	1.0	0	0	0	2	1	26-13	3.42	26
A. Vesia	1.0	2	0	0	0	3	21-16	2.39	21
T. Scott	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	15-9	2.18	15

Win probability

LAD 100%MIN 0%

Win probability over timeMIN win %

Biggest swing: Kreidler singled to center, Lee scored and Gray scored, Kreidler thrown out at second. (+21% MIN)

Team stats

LADMIN

702

Hits

670

419

Runs

392

108

Home Runs

100

393

RBI

371

Stolen Bases

328

Walks

271

633

Strikeouts

667

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

LADMIN

10.23%

Barrel%

8.83%

43.07%

Hard-hit%

37.83%

.350

xwOBA

.320

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant