ARI vs STL — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballBusch Stadium · St. Louis, Missouri

Arizona

Diamondbacks

Final

MLB.TVDBACKS.TVCardinals.TV

Top hitters

ARI

AVG

.279▼

Corbin Carroll

Arizona Diamondbacks

1-5

xwOBA 75thvs LHP .364

STL

AVG

.290

Jordan Walker

St. Louis Cardinals

1-3

xwOBA 91stvs LHP .322

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

ARI

Starter

Mitch Bratt

Arizona Diamondbacks · 0-0

3.0 IP, ER, 3 K, 2 BB

3.00 ERA · 3 K · 1.33 WHIP

STL

Starter

Matthew Liberatore

St. Louis Cardinals · 3-5

5.1 IP, 6 ER, 3 K, 2 BB

xwOBA 10th

5.56 ERA · 70 K · 1.58 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Diamondbacks clinch a stunning 9-4 victory over the Cardinals at Busch Stadium! Let’s break down how they made it happen.

The Diamondbacks showcased their offensive firepower, racking up 9 runs to outpace the Cardinals' 4, demonstrating their ability to capitalize on opportunities.
Key contributions boosted Arizona's effort, with standout performances that propelled them ahead and made a statement under the lights at Busch Stadium.
With this win, the Diamondbacks strengthen their position in the standings, leaving the Cardinals looking to regroup after a tough loss.

Starters: Mitch Bratt vs Matthew LiberatoreBatting average: J. Walker (.290)ERA: M. McGreevy (3.35)

How our pick did

Pick to winSTL to winMiss

Contact quality

ARI9 R · .320 xBA

STL4 R · .284 xBA

The scoreboard matched the contact — ARI both hit it harder and scored more.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

ARI win3rd in the NL West, 15 GB

Looking ahead

The Diamondbacks sit 3rd in the NL West, 15 games back — losers of 2 straight, 4-6 over their last 10.
The Cardinals sit 3rd in the NL Central, 9½ games back — coming off a win, 5-5 over their last 10.
ARI wins series 2-1 — they meet again Jun 25.
The Diamondbacks are up next at SD (Jul 9), then at LAD.
The Cardinals are up next home vs MIL (Jul 9), then home vs ATL.

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
ARI	0	0	0	6	0	0	2	1	0	9	12	0
STL	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	4	8	1

Statcast

Hardest hit
K. Marte · Single
109.6 mph · .470 xBA
Hardest hit · STL
J. Walker · Single
107.1 mph · .650 xBA
Longest hit
K. Marte · Home Run
416 ft · .860 xBA
Best barrel
K. Marte · Home Run
109.3 mph · .860 xBA
Fastest pitch
J. Loáisiga · 4-Seam Fastball
98.5 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Ildemaro Vargas
Win probability added
+22%
LuJames Groover
Win probability added
+13%
Gabriel Moreno
Win probability added
+10%

Scoring summary

Jordan doubled to left, Fermín scored.2nd Inning0-1
Troy reached on infield single to second, Carroll scored, Arenado to second.4th Inning1-1
Vargas doubled to left, Troy scored and Arenado scored.4th Inning3-1
Groover homered to left (388 feet), Vargas scored.4th Inning5-1
Marte homered to left center (416 feet).4th Inning6-1
Jordan hit sacrifice fly to center, Fermín scored.4th Inning6-2
Troy hit a ground rule double, Moreno scored.7th Inning7-2
Gurriel Jr. doubled to left, Troy scored.7th Inning8-2
Moreno hit sacrifice fly to left, Groover scored.8th Inning9-2
Fermín homered to left (387 feet).9th Inning9-3
Jordan singled to center, Nootbaar scored.9th Inning9-4

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	HR	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
K. Marte	2-5	5	1	2	1	1	0	0	13	.265	.319	.461
G. Perdomo	1-5	5	0	1	0	0	0	0	19	.233	.349	.338
C. Carroll	1-5	5	1	1	0	0	0	2	18	.279	.365	.537
G. Moreno	1-2	2	1	1	1	0	2	0	24	.278	.362	.444
N. Arenado	1-5	5	1	1	0	0	0	1	20	.238	.313	.387
T. Troy	2-5	5	2	2	2	0	0	1	24	.241	.323	.410
J. Barrosa	0-0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.181	.252	.352
L. Gurriel Jr.	2-5	5	0	2	1	0	0	0	14	.223	.273	.298
T. Tawa	0-0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.172	.270	.266
I. Vargas	1-4	4	1	1	2	0	1	0	19	.261	.305	.408
L. Groover	1-3	3	2	1	2	1	2	1	22	.186	.286	.302

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA	PC
M. Bratt	3.0	2	1	1	2	3	0	54-36	3.00	54
R. Thompson	2.0	2	1	1	0	2	0	21-16	2.86	21
J. Loaisiga	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	16-10	2.73	16
T. Clarke	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	10-8	2.10	10
D. Jameson	2.0	3	2	2	0	1	1	29-19	5.79	29

Win probability

ARI 100%STL 0%

Win probability over timeSTL win %

Biggest swing: Vargas doubled to left, Troy scored and Arenado scored. (+24% ARI)

Team stats

ARISTL

623

Hits

646

337

Runs

355

Home Runs

324

RBI

343

Stolen Bases

250

Walks

262

576

Strikeouts

600

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

ARISTL

7.17%

Barrel%

8.44%

38.35%

Hard-hit%

42.5%

.340

xwOBA

.330

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant