PIT vs COL — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballCoors Field · Denver, Colorado

Pittsburgh

Pirates

Final

MLB.TVRockies.TV

Top hitters

PIT

AVG

.295

COL

AVG

.309

Troy Johnston

Colorado Rockies

0-2

xwOBA 55thvs RHP .340

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

PIT

Starter

Paul Skenes

Pittsburgh Pirates · 6-7

6.0 IP, 2 ER, 8 K, 2 BB

xwOBA 93rd

2.86 ERA · 107 K · 0.93 WHIP

COL

Starter

Tomoyuki Sugano

Colorado Rockies · 8-4

6.0 IP, ER, 5 K, 0 BB

xwOBA 1st

4.31 ERA · 46 K · 1.29 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Rockies narrowly edged out the Pirates in a thrilling finish at Coors Field! Here's how it all went down.

The Rockies managed to secure a tight win, scoring just enough to keep the Pirates at bay with a final score of 2-1 in a hard-fought showdown.
Pitching was key, with the Rockies showing dominance in the mound department, effectively limiting the Pirates' scoring opportunities throughout the game.
This victory boosts the Rockies' confidence as they look to climb the standings, proving their resilience in clutch moments at home.

Contact quality

PIT1 R · .300 xBA

COL2 R · .290 xBA

COL scored more despite the lower team xBA — PIT squared more up and had less to show for it.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

COL win5th in the NL West, 23½ GB

Looking ahead

The Rockies sit 5th in the NL West, 23½ games back — losers of 2 straight, 5-5 over their last 10.
The Pirates sit 4th in the NL Central, 12½ games back — losers of 2 straight, 5-5 over their last 10.
COL wins series 2-1.
The Rockies are up next at SF (Jul 10-12).
The Pirates are up next home vs MIL (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
PIT	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	6	0
COL	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0		2	5	0

Statcast

Hardest hit · PIT
S. Horwitz · Groundout
106.3 mph · .110 xBA
Hardest hit · COL
C. Carrigg · Double
105.9 mph · .960 xBA
Longest hit
S. Horwitz · Home Run
434 ft · 1.000 xBA
Best barrel
S. Horwitz · Home Run
102.7 mph · 1.000 xBA
Fastest pitch
J. Hill · 4-Seam Fastball
99 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Jaden Hill
COL
+38%
Tomoyuki Sugano
COL
+28%
Brandon Lowe
PIT
+16%

Scoring summary

Horwitz homered to right (434 feet).1st Inning1-0
McCarthy homered to center on an inside-the-park home run (341 feet).1st Inning1-1
Rumfield singled to left, McCarthy scored.3rd Inning1-2

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	HR	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
S. Horwitz	2-4	4	1	2	1	1	0	0	12	.281	.389	.464
B. Lowe	2-4	4	0	2	0	0	0	1	10	.245	.327	.515
B. Reynolds	1-4	4	0	1	0	0	0	1	17	.285	.400	.471
B. Cook	0-0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.167	.167	.167
R. O'Hearn	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	16	.279	.340	.459
N. Gonzales	0-3	3	0	0	0	0	0	2	14	.289	.340	.361
T. Callihan	0-3	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	24	.278	.409	.556
J. Mangum	1-4	4	0	1	0	0	0	1	15	.295	.343	.353
J. Triolo	0-3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	19	.233	.301	.271
H. Davis	0-2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	.136	.238	.280
E. Rodriguez	0-1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	6	.250	.400	.438

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA	PC
P. Skenes	6.0	4	2	2	2	8	1	104-63	2.86	104
C. Mlodzinski	2.0	1	0	0	1	2	0	32-19	3.72	32

Win probability

PIT 0%COL 100%

Win probability over timeCOL win %

Biggest swing: Mangum grounded into fielder's choice to third, Gonzales to second, Cook out at third on runner's inteference. (+23% COL)

Team stats

PITCOL

Hits

Runs

Home Runs

RBI

Stolen Bases

Walks

Strikeouts

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

PITCOL

7.77%

Barrel%

7.33%

40.6%

Hard-hit%

38.26%

.320

xwOBA

.320

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant