TOR vs SD — MainMarket Sports · MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballPetco Park · San Diego, California

Sat, Jul 11 · 8:40 PM EDT

Toronto

Blue Jays

44-49 · 20-24 away

July 11 · 8:40 PM EDT

Watch

MLB.TV

San Diego

Padres

46-46 · 25-22 home

MLB.TVPadres.TV

Our prediction

Our pick · projected final

TOR4Proj5SD

Pick to winPadres to winBest betConsider betting on the total to go over.

Confidence Low

The Padres have a home advantage at Petco Park, which often plays a crucial role in their performance. They tend to be stronger offensively when playing in front of their home crowd.
The Blue Jays are a competitive team, but their away performance has been inconsistent. While they can put runs on the board, their pitching may struggle against the Padres' lineup.
Both teams have shown volatility in their recent games, but the Padres have the edge in matchups when playing at home. This could tilt the game in their favor.

Top hitters

TOR

AVG

.297

Ernie Clement

Toronto Blue Jays

xwOBA 6th

2Nathan Lukes.289
3Vladimir Guerrero Jr..262▼
4Daulton Varsho.246

AVG

.317

Luis Campusano

San Diego Padres

Max Exit Velo 64th

2Fernando Tatis Jr..284
3Miguel Andujar.266▲
4Ty France.254

Season batting average · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

Starter

Walker Buehler

San Diego Padres · 5-5

xwOBA 36th

5.07 ERA · 80 K · 1.39 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Matchup to watch

Daulton Varsho is 3-for-10 (.300, 1 HR) vs Buehler

Career batter vs pitcher · MLB Stats API

Win probability

TOR 57%SD 43%

Team stats

TORSD

761

Hits

681

376

Runs

362

Home Runs

360

RBI

354

Stolen Bases

254

Walks

302

682

Strikeouts

773

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

TORSD

6.63%

Barrel%

9.23%

36.1%

Hard-hit%

43.06%

.310

xwOBA

.320

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant