MIL vs PIT — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballPNC Park · Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

Sat, Jul 11 · 4:05 PM EDT

Milwaukee

Brewers

58-34 · 29-16 away

July 11 · 4:05 PM EDT

Watch

MLB.TV

Pittsburgh

Pirates

47-47 · 24-24 home

MLB.TVBrewers.TV

Our prediction

Our pick · projected final

MIL4Proj5PIT

Pick to winPirates to winBest betBet on the Pirates to win and cover the spread.

Confidence Low

The Brewers have shown inconsistency in their recent performances, which could impact their ability to secure a win on the road at PNC Park.
The Pirates have been competitive at home, leveraging their pitcher's strengths and the support of their fans to stay in games.
Given the Brewers' struggles and the Pirates' home advantage, I see the Pirates having a slight edge in this matchup.

Top hitters

MIL

AVG

.329▼

Andrew Vaughn

Milwaukee Brewers

Max Exit Velo 40th

2William Contreras.284▼
3Jackson Chourio.282
4Garrett Mitchell.276▲

PIT

AVG

.311

Jake Mangum

Pittsburgh Pirates

xwOBA 10th

2Nick Gonzales.310▲
3Esmerlyn Valdez.293▲
4Ryan O'Hearn.289▲

Season batting average · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

MIL

Starter

Shane Drohan

Milwaukee Brewers · 4-2

xwOBA 70th

2.97 ERA · 61 K · 1.24 WHIP

PIT

Starter

Bubba Chandler

Pittsburgh Pirates · 3-8

xwOBA 42nd

4.82 ERA · 79 K · 1.44 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Win probability

MIL 48%PIT 52%

Team stats

MILPIT

797

Hits

849

468

Runs

487

Home Runs

117

442

RBI

467

Stolen Bases

379

Walks

351

751

Strikeouts

875

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

MILPIT

7.94%

Barrel%

7.77%

40.18%

Hard-hit%

40.6%

.320

xwOBA

.320

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant