LAA vs MIN — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballTarget Field · Minneapolis, Minnesota

Sat, Jul 11 · 2:10 PM EDT

Los Angeles

Angels

37-57 · 16-32 away

July 11 · 2:10 PM EDT

Watch

MLB.TV

Minnesota

Twins

46-48 · 24-24 home

MLB.TVTwins.TVAngels.TV

Our prediction

Our pick · projected final

LAA4Proj5MIN

Pick to winTwins to winBest betConsider taking the Twins to cover the spread at home.

Confidence Low

The Angels have shown some offensive prowess recently, but consistency remains an issue. Their ability to score runs can fluctuate significantly from game to game.
On the other hand, the Twins have a strong home-field advantage at Target Field. Their lineup has been productive, and they tend to perform better in front of their home crowd.
Pitching matchups can be crucial, and while we do not have specifics on the starters, the Twins generally have a solid bullpen, which could be a deciding factor in close games.

Our analysis

What to watchLow confidence

Ryan faces Johnson in Twins vs. Angels matchup

Joe Ryan takes the mound for the Twins, boasting a 2.85 ERA and 122 strikeouts this season. His strong performance will be crucial against an Angels lineup that struggles against elite pitching.
Ryan Johnson starts for the Angels with a 6.99 ERA and 1.55 WHIP, which could spell trouble for Los Angeles. They'll need him to step up significantly to keep the Twins' offense at bay.
Byron Buxton leads the Twins with a .271 batting average and 25 home runs, posing a constant threat. His ability to connect early could set the tone for Minnesota's offense.
Zach Neto has been a bright spot for the Angels with 19 home runs, but he'll face a tough challenge against Ryan's solid command. Neto's performance will be key if Los Angeles hopes to keep pace.

On the mound: Ryan Johnson (RHP) vs Joe Ryan (RHP)Batting average: B. Buxton (.271)

Probable pitchers

Ryan Johnson

RHP · #32

Joe Ryan

RHP · #41

Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
LAA	1-4	6.99	1.55	28.1	34	24	10	8
MIN	6-5	2.85	1.04	104.1	85	122	23	10

LAA · arsenal

Cutter89.731%29% whiff

Sinker92.228%4% whiff

Splitter84.426%36% whiff

Sweeper79.415%31% whiff

MIN · arsenal

4-Seam93.545%28% whiff

Sweeper80.314%36% whiff

Curveball78.911%29% whiff

Splitter87.911%25% whiff

Sinker93.211%8% whiff

Team leaders

Batting

Batting average

N. Schanuel

.269

vs L .209 · vs R .288

B. Buxton

.271

Home runs

Z. Neto

19 HR

vs L .273 · vs R .221

B. Buxton

25 HR

RBI

J. Adell

53 RBI

J. Bell

60 RBI

vs L .259 · vs R .241

Pitching

ERA

J. Soriano

3.40

J. Ryan

2.85

Wins

J. Soriano

8 W

T. Bradley

8 W

Strikeouts

R. Detmers

123 K

J. Ryan

122 K

Top hitters

LAA

AVG

.294

Wade Meckler

Los Angeles Angels

Sprint Speed 83rd

2Nolan Schanuel.269▲
3Jose Siri.256▼
4Denzer Guzman.253

MIN

AVG

.296

Alex Jackson

Minnesota Twins

Sprint Speed 55th

2Ryan Jeffers.295
3Trevor Larnach.281
4Luke Keaschall.255

Season batting average · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

LAA

Starter

Ryan Johnson

Los Angeles Angels · 1-4

xwOBA 26th

6.99 ERA · 24 K · 1.55 WHIP

MIN

Starter

Joe Ryan

Minnesota Twins · 6-5

xwOBA 86th

2.85 ERA · 122 K · 1.04 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Win probability

LAA 28%MIN 72%

Team stats

LAAMIN

759

Hits

786

421

Runs

459

107

Home Runs

118

406

RBI

437

Stolen Bases

302

Walks

313

894

Strikeouts

782

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

LAAMIN

10.16%

Barrel%

8.88%

40.74%

Hard-hit%

37.78%

.320

xwOBA

.320

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant