SEA vs TB — MainMarket Sports · MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballTropicana Field · St. Petersburg, Florida

Sat, Jul 11 · 4:10 PM EDT

Seattle

Mariners

47-46 · 20-26 away

July 11 · 4:10 PM EDT

Watch

MLB.TV

Tampa Bay

Rays

54-37 · 33-14 home

MLB.TVRays.TVMariners.TV

Our prediction

Our pick · projected final

SEA4Proj5TB

Pick to winRays to winBest betBet on the Rays to cover the spread.

Confidence Low

The Mariners have shown inconsistency in their recent performances, which makes it difficult to predict their output in this matchup. However, their offense has the potential to score, especially against a team like the Rays.
The Rays have been solid at home and have a strong lineup that can capitalize on the Mariners' pitching. Their ability to perform in a home setting gives them an edge.
Given the recent trends and the overall strength of the Rays at Tropicana Field, I believe they will have the upper hand in this game. The Mariners will need to play at their best to pull off an upset.

Top hitters

SEA

AVG

.286

Randy Arozarena

Seattle Mariners

xwOBA 76th

2Dominic Canzone.266▼
3Cole Young.254
4Josh Naylor.251

AVG

.326

Yandy Díaz

Tampa Bay Rays

xwOBA 87th

2Jonathan Aranda.287▲
3Junior Caminero.277
4Chandler Simpson.277▲

Season batting average · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

SEA

Starter

Logan Gilbert

Seattle Mariners · 7-5

xwOBA 66th

3.19 ERA · 114 K · 0.95 WHIP

Starter

Griffin Jax

Tampa Bay Rays · 4-6

xwOBA 17th

3.60 ERA · 68 K · 1.22 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Matchup to watch

Randy Arozarena is 3-for-6 (.500, 1 HR) vs Jax
Yandy Díaz is 3-for-10 (.300) vs Gilbert

Career batter vs pitcher · MLB Stats API

Win probability

SEA 44%TB 56%

Team stats

SEATB

709

Hits

771

377

Runs

406

110

Home Runs

364

RBI

387

Stolen Bases

309

Walks

320

808

Strikeouts

644

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

SEATB

9.64%

Barrel%

4.83%

40.96%

Hard-hit%

34.16%

.340

xwOBA

.310

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant