ARI vs LAD — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballDodger Stadium · Los Angeles, California

Sat, Jul 11 · 9:10 PM EDT

Arizona

Diamondbacks

45-47 · 18-27 away

July 11 · 9:10 PM EDT

Watch

MLB.TV

Los Angeles

Dodgers

61-33 · 31-16 home

MLB.TVDBACKS.TV

Our prediction

Our pick · projected final

ARI4Proj5LAD

Pick to winDodgers to winBest betTake the Dodgers to cover the spread.

Confidence Medium

The Dodgers have been solid at home, leveraging their strong offensive lineup. They have the advantage of playing at Dodger Stadium, which can boost their performance.
The Diamondbacks have shown resilience but face a tough matchup against a well-rounded Dodgers team. Their away performance has been inconsistent this season.
Both teams have potent hitters, but the Dodgers' pitching staff has the edge in strikeouts and limiting runs compared to the Diamondbacks' recent struggles on the mound.

Top hitters

ARI

AVG

.294▲

Gabriel Moreno

Arizona Diamondbacks

xwOBA 87th

2Ketel Marte.266
3Corbin Carroll.261▼
4Ildemaro Vargas.257▼

LAD

AVG

.351

Tommy Edman

Los Angeles Dodgers

Sprint Speed 47th

2Freddie Freeman.296▲
3Shohei Ohtani.290
4Miguel Rojas.284▲

Season batting average · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

LAD

Starter

Yoshinobu Yamamoto

Los Angeles Dodgers · 9-5

xwOBA 76th

2.49 ERA · 100 K · 0.88 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Matchup to watch

Corbin Carroll is 2-for-20 (.100) vs Yamamoto

Career batter vs pitcher · MLB Stats API

Win probability

ARI 22%LAD 78%

Team stats

ARILAD

724

Hits

836

390

Runs

498

Home Runs

124

375

RBI

468

Stolen Bases

288

Walks

383

663

Strikeouts

736

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

ARILAD

7.17%

Barrel%

10.23%

38.35%

Hard-hit%

43.07%

.340

xwOBA

.350

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant