HOU vs TEX — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballGlobe Life Field · Arlington, Texas

Sat, Jul 11 · 7:05 PM EDT

Houston

Astros

46-49 · 23-25 away

July 11 · 7:05 PM EDT

Watch

MLB.TV

Texas

Rangers

46-46 · 21-21 home

MLB.TV

Our prediction

Our pick · projected final

HOU4Proj5TEX

Pick to winRangers to winBest betTake the Rangers to cover the spread.

Confidence Low

The Rangers have been performing well at home lately, giving them a slight edge in this matchup against the Astros. Globe Life Field can be a tough environment for visiting teams.
The Astros have shown inconsistency in their recent performances, which affects their overall offensive output. While they have a strong lineup, they may struggle to score against the Rangers' pitching.
Given the Rangers' home advantage and the Astros' recent struggles, the probability of the Rangers securing a win is higher, but not overwhelmingly so. The game could be competitive.

Top hitters

HOU

AVG

.310▼

Yordan Alvarez

Houston Astros

xwOBA 100th

2Braden Shewmake.256▼
3Isaac Paredes.253
4Nick Allen.244▼

TEX

AVG

.330

Nicky Lopez

Texas Rangers

Sprint Speed 62nd

2Josh Jung.297
3Elias Díaz.290
4Justin Foscue.278▲

Season batting average · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

HOU

Starter

Peter Lambert

Houston Astros · 7-5

xwOBA 69th

3.26 ERA · 74 K · 1.15 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Matchup to watch

Josh Jung is 1-for-5 (.200) vs Lambert

Career batter vs pitcher · MLB Stats API

Win probability

HOU 51%TEX 49%

Team stats

HOUTEX

770

Hits

746

432

Runs

376

126

Home Runs

100

412

RBI

361

Stolen Bases

312

Walks

303

778

Strikeouts

768

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

HOUTEX

9.39%

Barrel%

9.59%

39.86%

Hard-hit%

44.99%

.330

xwOBA

.330

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant