ATL vs STL — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballBusch Stadium · St. Louis, Missouri

Sat, Jul 11 · 7:15 PM EDT

Atlanta

Braves

54-38 · 27-20 away

July 11 · 7:15 PM EDT

Watch

MLB.TV

St. Louis

Cardinals

48-43 · 24-24 home

MLB.TVBravesVisionCardinals.TV

Our prediction

Our pick · projected final

ATL4Proj5STL

Pick to winCardinals to winBest betConsider betting on the Cardinals to win at home.

Confidence Low

The Braves have been a strong team this season, but they face a tough challenge at Busch Stadium. The Cardinals play well at home, and their offense has shown signs of life recently.
Pitching matchups will be crucial in this game. If the Cardinals' starter performs well, they could limit the Braves' scoring opportunities, allowing the home team to take advantage.
While the Braves have solid hitters, the Cardinals' home-field advantage can be significant. They tend to elevate their game when playing in front of their fans, which could tip the scales in their favor.

Top hitters

ATL

AVG

.304

Michael Harris II

Atlanta Braves

xwOBA 88th

2Mauricio Dubón.273▲
3Ozzie Albies.272
4Matt Olson.270

STL

AVG

.294

Jordan Walker

St. Louis Cardinals

xwOBA 91st

2Alec Burleson.277▼
3José Fermín.270
4JJ Wetherholt.263

Season batting average · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

ATL

Starter

Reynaldo López

Atlanta Braves · 4-1

xwOBA 34th

3.18 ERA · 51 K · 1.27 WHIP

STL

Starter

Matthew Liberatore

St. Louis Cardinals · 4-6

xwOBA 10th

5.34 ERA · 82 K · 1.53 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Matchup to watch

Matt Olson is 1-for-8 (.125) vs Liberatore

Career batter vs pitcher · MLB Stats API

Win probability

ATL 52%STL 48%

Team stats

ATLSTL

768

Hits

748

444

Runs

416

117

Home Runs

104

432

RBI

404

Stolen Bases

269

Walks

292

731

Strikeouts

702

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

ATLSTL

9.56%

Barrel%

8.44%

41.64%

Hard-hit%

42.5%

.330

xwOBA

.330

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant