KC vs BAL — MainMarket Sports · MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballOriole Park at Camden Yards · Baltimore, Maryland

Sat, Jul 11 · 7:05 PM EDT

Kansas City

Royals

38-56 · 17-30 away

July 11 · 7:05 PM EDT

Watch

MLB.TV

Baltimore

Orioles

43-51 · 25-25 home

MLB.TVRoyals.TV

Our prediction

Our pick · projected final

KC3Proj5BAL

Pick to winOrioles to winBest betBet on the Orioles to win and cover the spread.

Confidence High

The Royals have struggled on the road this season, which may impact their performance at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Their recent games indicate a lack of offensive consistency, making it difficult to predict a high-scoring outing.
The Orioles, playing at home, have shown an ability to capitalize on their opponent's weaknesses. Their lineup has been more productive in recent matchups, and they have a favorable matchup against the Royals' pitching staff.
While my recent predictions have not gone as planned, the statistics suggest the Orioles hold a stronger position in this game. Their home field advantage and recent form give them a higher likelihood of winning.

Top hitters

AVG

.370▲

Tyler Tolbert

Kansas City Royals

Sprint Speed 95th

2Bobby Witt Jr..288
3Starling Marte.268
4Michael Massey.263

BAL

AVG

.302

Blaze Alexander

Baltimore Orioles

xwOBA 74th

2Adley Rutschman.256
3Taylor Ward.255
4Jeremiah Jackson.251

Season batting average · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

Starter

Noah Cameron

Kansas City Royals · 5-6

xwOBA 21st

4.77 ERA · 82 K · 1.45 WHIP

BAL

Starter

Kyle Bradish

Baltimore Orioles · 5-9

xwOBA 57th

3.75 ERA · 101 K · 1.40 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Win probability

KC 33%BAL 67%

Team stats

KCBAL

776

Hits

741

402

Runs

425

Home Runs

108

383

RBI

411

Stolen Bases

306

Walks

355

747

Strikeouts

848

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

KCBAL

8.6%

Barrel%

8.45%

44.22%

Hard-hit%

42.6%

.320

xwOBA

.320

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant