CHC vs CIN — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballGreat American Ball Park · Cincinnati, Ohio

Sat, Jul 11 · 7:10 PM EDT

CHC -120O/U 10

Chicago

Cubs

52-41 · 25-22 away

July 11 · 7:10 PM EDT

Watch

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Cincinnati

Reds

42-50 · 21-26 home

ESPN UnlmtdMLB.TVReds.TV

CHC -120O/U 10

Our prediction

Our pick · projected final

CHC4Proj5CIN

Pick to winReds to winBest betBet on the Reds to win by a slim margin.

Confidence Low

The Cubs have shown inconsistency in their recent performances. Their offense has had moments of brilliance, but they struggle against left-handed pitching, which the Reds have in their rotation.
The Reds, playing at home, have a slight edge with their strong lineup and the advantage of familiar surroundings. Great American Ball Park is known for its hitter-friendly conditions, which may favor their bats.
While the Cubs have the potential to surprise, the Reds have been more reliable lately. Their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities could lead them to a narrow victory.

Top hitters

CHC

AVG

.294▲

Pete Crow-Armstrong

Chicago Cubs

xwOBA 88th

2Carson Kelly.276
3Seiya Suzuki.269
4Pedro Ramírez.250

CIN

AVG

.268

Elly De La Cruz

Cincinnati Reds

xwOBA 81st

2Sal Stewart.258▲
3Jose Trevino.250
4Edwin Arroyo.247▲

Season batting average · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

CHC

Starter

Javier Assad

Chicago Cubs · 6-1

xwOBA 28th

4.15 ERA · 33 K · 1.10 WHIP

CIN

Starter

Nick Lodolo

Cincinnati Reds · 3-2

xwOBA 4th

4.68 ERA · 46 K · 1.46 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Matchup to watch

Seiya Suzuki is 5-for-15 (.333) vs Lodolo
Elly De La Cruz is 3-for-12 (.250, 1 HR) vs Assad

Career batter vs pitcher · MLB Stats API

Win probability

CHC 52%CIN 48%

Team stats

CHCCIN

776

Hits

698

471

Runs

384

118

Home Runs

113

439

RBI

365

Stolen Bases

406

Walks

344

778

Strikeouts

876

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

CHCCIN

7.93%

Barrel%

10.13%

40.14%

Hard-hit%

39.46%

.330

xwOBA

.320

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant