MIL vs ARI — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballChase Field · Phoenix, Arizona

Milwaukee

Brewers

Final

MLB.TVApple TV

Top hitters

MIL

AVG

.336▼

ARI

AVG

.286▲

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

MIL

Starter

Kyle Harrison

Milwaukee Brewers · 8-1

2.2 IP, 3 ER, 3 K, BB

xwOBA 83rd

2.82 ERA · 99 K · 1.08 WHIP

ARI

Starter

Jose Cabrera

Arizona Diamondbacks · 0-1

3.1 IP, 3 ER, 3 K, 3 BB

Fastball Spin 46th

4.73 ERA · 10 K · 1.58 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Brewers took down the Diamondbacks 7-4 at Chase Field in an electrifying finish! A standout offensive performance propelled Milwaukee to victory, showcasing their hitting prowess throughout the game.

Milwaukee's offense was on fire, racking up 7 runs and outpacing Arizona's 4, demonstrating their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities.
The Brewers' strong performance at the plate was highlighted by key hits that kept the pressure on the Diamondbacks, ultimately leading to their decisive win.
With this victory, the Brewers continue to assert their presence in the playoff race, solidifying their position in the standings.

Starters: Kyle Harrison vs Jose CabreraBatting average: C. Carroll (.269)ERA: E. Rodriguez (2.21)

How our pick did

Pick to winDiamondbacks to winMiss

Contact quality

MIL7 R · .415 xBA

ARI4 R · .301 xBA

The scoreboard matched the contact — MIL both hit it harder and scored more.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

MIL win1st in the NL Central, +6½

Looking ahead

The Brewers lead the NL Central by 6½ — coming off a loss, 7-3 over their last 10.
The Diamondbacks sit 3rd in the NL West, 15 games back — losers of 2 straight, 4-6 over their last 10.
MIL wins series 2-1.
The Brewers are up next at STL (Jul 9), then at PIT.
The Diamondbacks are up next at SD (Jul 9), then at LAD.

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	R	H	E
MIL	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	7	12	1
ARI	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	9	3

Statcast

Hardest hit · MIL
G. Mitchell · Home Run
111.8 mph · 1.000 xBA
Hardest hit
M. Kepler · Flyout
108.6 mph · .950 xBA
Longest hit
G. Mitchell · Home Run
435 ft · 1.000 xBA
Best barrel
M. Kepler · Flyout
108.6 mph · .950 xBA
Fastest pitch
A. Uribe · Sinker
100.6 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Grant Anderson
MIL
+35%
Taylor Clarke
Win probability added
+31%
Chad Patrick
MIL
+27%

Scoring summary

Mitchell homered to center (435 feet), Bauers scored. Umpire review: call on the field was upheld.2nd Inning2-0
Bauers singled to right, Turang scored, Contreras to second.3rd Inning3-0
Moreno singled to right, Marte scored, Carroll to third.3rd Inning3-1
Arenado doubled to left, Carroll scored and Moreno scored, Gurriel Jr. to third.3rd Inning3-3
Chourio reached on infield single to pitcher, Perkins scored and Pratt scored on throwing error by pitcher Thompson, Chourio to second, Yelich safe at third on error.11th Inning5-3
Turang singled to left, Yelich scored and Chourio scored, Turang to second.11th Inning7-3
Vargas singled to right, Gurriel Jr. scored.11th Inning7-4

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	HR	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
C. Yelich	0-4	4	1	0	0	0	2	0	17	.248	.333	.379
J. Chourio	1-6	6	1	1	1	0	0	3	20	.291	.348	.516
B. Turang	3-6	6	1	3	2	0	0	0	29	.263	.361	.451
W. Contreras	2-6	6	0	2	0	0	0	1	18	.293	.358	.416
J. Bauers	3-6	6	1	3	1	0	0	2	24	.269	.368	.496
G. Mitchell	1-4	4	1	1	2	1	1	1	20	.265	.362	.462
S. Frelick	0-3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	9	.247	.318	.336
A. Vaughn	0-1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	.336	.423	.523
B. Perkins	0-1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	.157	.250	.258
C. Pratt	1-3	3	1	1	0	0	1	1	19	.191	.304	.213
D. Hamilton	1-2	2	0	1	0	0	1	1	16	.237	.317	.328
J. Ortiz	0-1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	.201	.277	.263

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	PC-ST	ERA	PC
K. Harrison	2.2	5	3	3	1	3	72-43	2.82	72
C. Patrick	3.1	1	0	0	0	2	34-23	3.54	34
A. Ashby	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	17-9	3.10	17
A. Uribe	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	17-11	2.91	17
T. Megill	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	12-10	3.18	12
G. Anderson	2.0	1	1	0	1	1	20-14	3.35	20

Win probability

MIL 100%ARI 0%

Win probability over timeARI win %

Biggest swing: Chourio reached on infield single to pitcher, Perkins scored and Pratt scored on throwing error by pitcher Thompson, Chourio to second, Yelich safe at third on error. (+31% MIL)

Team stats

MILARI

730

Hits

678

436

Runs

367

Home Runs

411

RBI

353

Stolen Bases

356

Walks

271

697

Strikeouts

620

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

MILARI

7.94%

Barrel%

7.17%

40.18%

Hard-hit%

38.35%

.320

xwOBA

.340

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant