ATL vs SF — MainMarket Sports · MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballOracle Park · San Francisco, California

Atlanta

Braves

54-38 · 25-19 away

Final

San Francisco

Giants

38-54 · 18-22 home

MLB.TVBravesVision

Top hitters

ATL

AVG

.297

AVG

.324

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

ATL

Starter

2.10 ERA · 109 K · 1.08 WHIP

Starter

Robbie Ray

San Francisco Giants · 7-6

8.0 IP, 0 ER, 2 K, BB

xwOBA 30th

3.39 ERA · 82 K · 1.22 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Our analysis

What happened

The Giants edged the Braves 3-2 in a nail-biter at Oracle Park! A standout pitching performance was key, as the Giants held the Braves to just two runs.

The Giants showcased their pitching prowess, limiting the Braves to just two runs, a crucial factor in this tightly contested game.
With the victory, the Giants not only celebrated a win but also made a significant push in the standings, keeping their playoff hopes alive.
The close score reflects the intense competition between these two teams, highlighting the Giants' ability to capitalize on key moments throughout the game.

Starters: Chris Sale vs Robbie RayBatting average: J. Lee (.323)ERA: L. Webb (3.09)

How our pick did

Pick to winSF to winHit ✓

Contact quality

ATL2 R · .271 xBA

SF3 R · .236 xBA

SF scored more despite the lower team xBA — ATL squared more up and had less to show for it.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

SF win4th in the NL West, 22 GB

Looking ahead

The Giants sit 4th in the NL West, 22 games back — losers of 2 straight, 4-6 over their last 10.
The Braves lead the NL East by 3 — winners of 2 straight, 5-5 over their last 10.
SF wins series 2-1.
The Giants are up next home vs COL (Jul 9-11).
The Braves are up next at STL (Jul 10-12).

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
ATL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	6	2
SF	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	0		3	10	1

Statcast

Hardest hit · ATL
M. Olson · Single
110.3 mph · .710 xBA
Hardest hit · SF
M. Chapman · Double
104.4 mph · .390 xBA
Longest hit
J. Bart · Flyout
368 ft · .150 xBA
Best barrel
M. Olson · Double
109.6 mph · .620 xBA
Fastest pitch
C. Sale · 4-Seam Fastball
99.3 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Robbie Ray
SF
+48%
Matt Olson
ATL
+18%
Caleb Kilian
SF
+11%

Scoring summary

Devers reached on infield single to third, Arraez scored on throwing error by third baseman Riley, Ramos safe at third on error.6th Inning0-1
Lee reached on infield single to second, Ramos scored on error, Devers to second, Lee to second, Devers safe at third on throwing error by second baseman Albies.6th Inning0-2
Arraez hit sacrifice fly to right, Gilbert scored, Chapman to third.7th Inning0-3
Harris II hit sacrifice fly to left, White scored.8th Inning1-3
Riley grounded out to first, Olson scored.9th Inning2-3

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
M. Dubon	1-4	4	0	1	0	0	0	8	.267	.316	.421
M. Harris II	0-3	3	0	0	1	0	0	14	.297	.329	.496
O. Albies	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	1	10	.274	.325	.433
M. Olson	3-4	4	1	3	0	0	1	21	.276	.345	.530
D. Baldwin	0-4	4	0	0	0	0	0	5	.255	.337	.463
A. Riley	0-4	4	0	0	1	0	0	14	.209	.289	.338
J. Bart	0-3	3	0	0	0	0	0	8	.143	.143	.357
D. Smith	1-1	1	0	1	0	0	0	3	.279	.320	.419
J. Mateo	0-0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.262	.301	.421
E. White	1-3	3	1	1	0	0	0	11	.219	.265	.362
M. Yastrzemski	0-1	1	0	0	0	0	1	5	.220	.307	.335
H. Kim	0-2	2	0	0	0	1	0	14	.068	.171	.068

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	PC-ST	ERA	PC
C. Sale	6.0	8	2	1	1	10	94-68	2.10	94
D. Fuentes	0.1	2	1	1	1	0	16-7	2.59	16
D. Lee	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	7-6	0.97	7
T. Kinley	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	12-8	3.00	12

Win probability

ATL 0%SF 100%

Win probability over timeSF win %

Biggest swing: Devers reached on infield single to third, Arraez scored on throwing error by third baseman Riley, Ramos safe at third on error. (+18% SF)

Team stats

ATLSF

683

Hits

717

388

Runs

334

103

Home Runs

378

RBI

326

Stolen Bases

238

Walks

199

646

Strikeouts

639

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

ATLSF

9.56%

Barrel%

8.14%

41.64%

Hard-hit%

39.94%

.330

xwOBA

.320

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant