SEA vs TB — MainMarket Sports · MainMarket Sports

The Rays have been solid at home, making Tropicana Field a challenging venue for visiting teams. Their ability to capitalize on home-field advantage gives them an edge in this matchup.
The Mariners have shown some inconsistency in their offense lately, which could hinder their ability to put runs on the board against a strong Rays pitching staff. This could lead to a lower scoring game for Seattle.
While both teams have talented rosters, the Rays' recent form and their performance at home suggest they are better positioned to secure the win. However, the Mariners have the potential to surprise, making this a competitive matchup.

Probable pitchers

Luis Castillo

RHP · #58

Nick Martinez

RHP · #28

Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
SEA	3-7	4.79	1.33	82.2	83	77	27	9
TB	7-2	2.61	1.13	100.0	95	61	18	10

SEA · arsenal

4-Seam95.344%28% whiff

Slider85.528%27% whiff

Sinker95.416%8% whiff

Changeup87.512%23% whiff

TB · arsenal

Sinker92.631%8% whiff

Changeup78.528%35% whiff

Cutter89.320%15% whiff

4-Seam92.911%14% whiff

Curveball807%17% whiff

Team leaders

Batting

Batting average

R. Arozarena

.286

vs L .280 · vs R .288

Y. Diaz

.327

Home runs

L. Raley

14 HR

vs L .190 · vs R .234

J. Caminero

26 HR

vs L .314 · vs R .265

RBI

C. Young

42 RBI

J. Aranda

61 RBI

Pitching

ERA

L. Gilbert

3.19

N. Martinez

2.61

Wins

G. Kirby

7 W

S. McClanahan

8 W

Strikeouts

L. Gilbert

114 K

D. Rasmussen

96 K

Top hitters

SEA

AVG

.286

Randy Arozarena

Seattle Mariners

xwOBA 76th

2Dominic Canzone.266▼
3Cole Young.254
4Josh Naylor.251

AVG

.326

Yandy Díaz

Tampa Bay Rays

xwOBA 87th

2Jonathan Aranda.287▲
3Junior Caminero.277
4Chandler Simpson.277▲

Season batting average · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

SEA

Starter

Luis Castillo

Seattle Mariners · 3-7

xwOBA 30th

4.79 ERA · 77 K · 1.33 WHIP

Starter

Nick Martinez

Tampa Bay Rays · 7-2

xwOBA 26th

2.61 ERA · 61 K · 1.13 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Matchup to watch

Josh Naylor is 1-for-6 (.167) vs Martinez
Yandy Díaz is 3-for-14 (.214, 1 HR) vs Castillo

Career batter vs pitcher · MLB Stats API

Win probability

SEA 38%TB 62%

Team stats

SEATB

709

Hits

771

377

Runs

406

110

Home Runs

364

RBI

387

Stolen Bases

309

Walks

320

808

Strikeouts

644

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

SEATB

9.64%

Barrel%

4.83%

40.96%

Hard-hit%

34.16%

.340

xwOBA

.310

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant