PHI vs DET — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballComerica Park · Detroit, Michigan

Fri, Jul 10 · 6:40 PM EDT

Philadelphia

Phillies

51-42 · 26-21 away

July 10 · 6:40 PM EDT

Watch

MLB.TV

Detroit

Tigers

42-50 · 25-21 home

MLB.TVTigers.TV

Our prediction

Our pick · projected final

PHI4Proj3DET

Pick to winPhillies to winBest betConsider taking the Phillies to cover the spread.

Confidence Low

The Phillies have shown a strong offensive capability in recent games, which gives them an edge in scoring. Their lineup can generate runs, especially against a Tigers pitching staff that has struggled at times.
On the other hand, the Tigers have displayed some resilience at home, which could help them keep the game close. Their ability to capitalize on any mistakes from the opposing pitcher will be crucial.
Both teams have had their ups and downs this season, making this matchup tricky. The close nature of their recent performances suggests that this game could go either way.

Probable pitchers

Aaron Nola

RHP · #27

Jack Flaherty

RHP · #9

Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
PHI	3-6	5.87	1.46	92.0	105	94	29	19
DET	2-8	4.60	1.45	76.1	74	92	37	8

PHI · arsenal

No Statcast arsenal

DET · arsenal

4-Seam92.849%20% whiff

Slider85.124%31% whiff

Curveball78.220%37% whiff

Sinker90.94%26% whiff

Changeup85.42%27% whiff

Team leaders

Batting

Batting average

B. Marsh

.305

vs L .253 · vs R .325

R. Greene

.292

vs L .255 · vs R .308

Home runs

K. Schwarber

32 HR

vs L .273 · vs R .243

D. Dingler

19 HR

vs L .237 · vs R .276

RBI

K. Schwarber

58 RBI

vs L .273 · vs R .243

D. Dingler

60 RBI

vs L .237 · vs R .276

Pitching

ERA

C. Sanchez

2.62

K. Montero

3.15

Wins

C. Sanchez

10 W

K. Montero

5 W

Strikeouts

C. Sanchez

137 K

J. Flaherty

92 K

Top hitters

PHI

AVG

.305

Brandon Marsh

Philadelphia Phillies

xwOBA 52nd

2Bryce Harper.264
3Justin Crawford.262▲
4Kyle Schwarber.254

DET

AVG

.292

Riley Greene

Detroit Tigers

xwOBA 87th

2Kevin McGonigle.287
3Dillon Dingler.264
4Colt Keith.250▼

Season batting average · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

DET

Starter

Jack Flaherty

Detroit Tigers · 2-8

xwOBA 42nd

4.60 ERA · 92 K · 1.45 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Matchup to watch

Kyle Schwarber is 2-for-26 (.077, 1 HR) vs Flaherty

Career batter vs pitcher · MLB Stats API

Win probability

PHI 40%DET 60%

Team stats

PHIDET

745

Hits

724

412

Runs

391

123

Home Runs

108

397

RBI

373

Stolen Bases

278

Walks

333

816

Strikeouts

799

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

PHIDET

8.39%

Barrel%

9.23%

42.67%

Hard-hit%

40.94%

.320

xwOBA

.330

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant