ATL vs CHC — MainMarket Sports

Major League BaseballWrigley Field · Chicago, Illinois

Atlanta

Braves

53-38 · 29-43 away

Final

Chicago

Cubs

52-40 · 42-25 home

ERADM

Top hitters

ATL

AVG

.284

Ronald Acuña Jr.

Atlanta Braves

0-4

xwOBA 93rd

CHC

AVG

.289

Season batting average · amber = strong vs today's starter · up/down arrow = hot/cold last 15 · MLB Stats API · hero Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Starting pitchers

ATL

Starter

Spencer Strider

Atlanta Braves · 5-12

5.0 IP, 3 ER, K, 3 BB

xwOBA 70th

4.97 ERA · 106 K · 1.39 WHIP

CHC

Starter

Colin Rea

Chicago Cubs · 10-6

4.0 IP, 3 ER, 3 K, 3 BB

xwOBA 7th

4.30 ERA · 98 K · 1.34 WHIP

Season pitching · MLB Stats API · Statcast accent by Baseball Savant

Contact quality

ATL6 R · .360 xBA

CHC7 R · .385 xBA

The scoreboard matched the contact — CHC both hit it harder and scored more.

Expected BA on balls in play · Baseball Savant

CHC win2nd in the NL Central, 6 GB

Looking ahead

The Cubs sit 2nd in the NL Central, 6 games back — winners of 3 straight, 8-2 over their last 10.
The Braves lead the NL East by 3 — coming off a win, 4-6 over their last 10.
CHC win series 2-1.
The Cubs are up next at BAL (Jul 9), then at CIN.
The Braves are up next at PIT (Jul 9), then at STL.

Line score

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
ATL	1	0	2	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	6	10	0
CHC	0	0	0	1	1	2	0	2	0	1	7	11	0

Statcast

Hardest hit · ATL
M. Harris II · Lineout
110.8 mph · .720 xBA
Hardest hit · CHC
D. Swanson · Double
108.7 mph · .800 xBA
Longest hit
I. Happ · Home Run
393 ft · .990 xBA
Best barrel
I. Happ · Home Run
107.7 mph · .990 xBA
Fastest pitch
B. Keller · 4-Seam Fastball
99.4 mph

Game MVP · win probability

Carson Kelly
CHC
+70%
Andrew Kittredge
CHC
+31%
Brad Keller
CHC
+14%

Scoring summary

Albies singled to right, Olson scored, Baldwin to third.1st Inning1-0
Harris II singled to center, Acuña Jr. scored and Baldwin scored, Albies to third.3rd Inning3-0
Happ homered to right center (393 feet).4th Inning3-1
Harris II doubled to right, Albies scored and Baldwin scored.5th Inning5-1
Alvarez Jr. doubled to right, Harris II scored.5th Inning6-1
Shaw doubled to left, Swanson scored.5th Inning6-2
Swanson doubled to left, Crow-Armstrong scored and Hoerner scored.6th Inning6-4
Kelly homered to left (389 feet), Happ scored.8th Inning6-6
Kelly singled to left, Suzuki scored.10th Inning6-7

Box score

Hitting

Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
J. Profar	0-5	5	0	0	0	0	2	20	.258	.362	.472
M. Olson	1-4	4	1	1	0	1	3	25	.269	.365	.455
R. Acuna Jr.	0-4	4	1	0	0	0	1	19	.284	.410	.510
D. Baldwin	2-3	3	2	2	0	2	1	21	.284	.357	.464
L. Williams	0-0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.103	.156	.172
S. Murphy	0-0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.204	.306	.419
O. Albies	2-4	4	1	2	1	1	0	24	.236	.305	.353
M. Harris II	2-5	5	1	2	4	0	1	14	.252	.273	.415
N. Alvarez Jr.	2-3	3	0	2	1	0	0	13	.242	.321	.317
J. Fraley	0-4	4	0	0	0	1	2	22	.385	.429	.462
N. Allen	1-4	4	0	1	0	0	2	12	.222	.285	.249
M. Ozuna	0-1	1	0	0	0	0	1	4	.227	.357	.403

Pitching

Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA	PC
S. Strider	5.0	5	3	3	3	1	1	88-47	4.97	88
H. Stratton	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	0	28-19	6.57	28
D. Lee	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	0	12-8	3.41	12
P. Johnson	1.0	2	2	2	0	1	1	17-12	2.45	17
J. Brebbia	1.2	2	1	0	0	2	0	25-21	6.75	25

Win probability

ATL 0%CHC 100%

Win probability over timeCHC win %

Biggest swing: Kelly homered to left (389 feet), Happ scored. (+41% CHC)

Team stats

ATLCHC

Hits

Runs

Home Runs

RBI

Stolen Bases

Walks

Strikeouts

Runners LOB

Statcast profile

ATLCHC

9.88%

Barrel%

9.98%

42.91%

Hard-hit%

40.48%

.330

xwOBA

.330

Barrel% perfectly-struck balls — ideal exit velo + launch angle, near-automatic extra bases · Hard-hit% share of balls hit 95+ mph · xwOBA expected offensive value from contact quality (higher is better)

Season quality of contact · Baseball Savant